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Prediction published on Oct 19, 2026 8:34 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 19, 2026 8:34 PM
Thun host Hajduk Split at Stockhorn Arena on October 22 in the Europa Conference League. The teams arrive with contrasting results: Thun lost their opening match against FC Twente, while Hajduk have won seven of their last eight games across all competitions. Recent home form gives Thun another concern, as they have gone four successive matches without a win in front of their supporters. Hajduk, meanwhile, travel after three consecutive victories and will look to carry that momentum into this fixture.
Thun returned to European competition after a 13-year absence but began with a 1-0 away defeat to FC Twente. Patrik Krista was sent off around the hour mark following a challenge on Ramiz Zerrouki, leaving Thun to finish the match with ten players. Their Europa Conference League record stands at one defeat, with averages of 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Their latest listed result was a 1-1 draw against FC Schaffhausen on October 18. Across Thun's last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That record is more balanced than the loss to Twente alone suggests, but the four-match winless home run remains a significant issue ahead of Hajduk's visit.
Thun's matches have also tended to feature action after the interval: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 27 of their last 30 games. The statistic concerns total goals in those matches, not necessarily goals scored by Thun. They are listed 29th in the supplied Europa Conference League ranking, compared with 12th for Hajduk Split.
Hajduk Split arrive in strong form, having won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions. That sequence includes a 2-1 home victory over Ajax, while a 1-0 league win against Varaždin on October 18 extended their current winning run to three games. Over their most recent five fixtures, Hajduk have registered four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per match.
The supplied Europa Conference League season figures give Hajduk three wins, two draws and no defeats, alongside averages of 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their away-match goals trend is also notable: the last 11 Hajduk Split away games have each featured more than 1.5 total goals. That does not mean Hajduk scored twice in every game, but it does show how consistently their trips have produced at least two goals overall.
Hajduk have frequently started matches well. They have avoided trailing at half-time in 20 of their last 22 games and have led at the break in seven of their last ten. Away from home, they have been ahead at half-time in six of their last ten matches. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in 20 of their last 21 games, giving this preview a strong late-goal trend on both sides.
The clearest contrast is between Thun's difficulty at home and Hajduk Split's run of victories. Thun's two wins in their last five show they have collected positive results recently, but they have yet to score in the supplied Europa Conference League season figures and lost their opening fixture to Twente. Hajduk's recent record is stronger, and their win over Ajax adds to the evidence that they can compete in this matchup.
There is reason to expect chances beyond the opening stages, given how regularly both clubs' matches have featured second-half goals. Hajduk's away games have also consistently cleared 1.5 total goals. Those patterns do not guarantee a particular scoreline, yet they suggest Thun may need to sustain their performance throughout the match rather than rely on a quiet contest. With Hajduk unbeaten in their supplied competition record and Thun seeking to end a four-game home winless streak, the visitors have the stronger form case going into October 22.
Thun vs Hajduk Split prediction from BetMines: Hajduk Split win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Thun
Hajduk Split
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
10
0