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Thun
5:45 PM
November 5, 2026
Hearts
Prediction published on Nov 4, 2026 4:32 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Nov 4, 2026 4:32 AM
Thun host Hearts at Stockhorn Arena on November 5, 2026, with both teams looking for their first win in the Europa Conference League. Thun are 32nd in the competition rankings, four places behind their visitors. Their European results have offered little encouragement, but a nine-goal domestic match last time out gave them a welcome victory before this fixture. Hearts also arrive after a defeat, despite signs of improvement in their preceding matches. Recent scores suggest goals could be part of the story, although Thun’s Conference League games so far have been much tighter.
Thun began their Europa Conference League campaign with consecutive 1-0 defeats against Twente and Hajduk Split. They have therefore taken no points from two matches, scoring no goals and conceding one per game on average. Their difficulties in Europe extend further back: the Swiss side have lost each of their last seven European matches. That record makes converting chances a clear priority against Hearts.
Their latest result, however, was a dramatic 5-4 away win over Lausanne Sport on November 1. It ended a four-match wait for a home win only in the sense that Thun secured a victory elsewhere; their home run remains without a win in four matches. Across all competitions, their last five games have produced one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The contrast between their scoreless European start and their five-goal display at Lausanne Sport makes it difficult to judge which version of Thun will appear on Thursday.
Hearts drew 1-1 with Nordsjaelland and lost 2-0 at Trabzonspor in the Conference League matches described ahead of this fixture. The supplied competition statistics record no wins, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss to Hibernian on November 1, following a 2-0 win at Motherwell and a 2-2 draw with Rangers. Over their last five matches in all competitions, they have won once, drawn once and lost three times, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game.
European away results remain a concern for Hearts. They have lost five of their last six matches on the road in Europe and failed to score in the most recent three. Their broader scoring record tells a different story, though: Hearts have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 matches. Every one of their last 29 games has featured more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 18 Europa Conference League fixtures and last 15 away matches. Those figures refer to goals by both teams combined, rather than goals scored by Hearts alone.
The central question is whether this contest follows Thun’s low-scoring European pattern or the more eventful trend in Hearts’ recent fixtures. Thun’s two 1-0 defeats show how little margin they have had in the Conference League, and Hearts’ recent European away games have not brought them a goal. Yet Thun’s 5-4 win at Lausanne Sport and Hearts’ recent results against Rangers and Hibernian offer reasons not to expect another subdued scoreline automatically.
There is a particularly consistent trend in the timing of goals across Hearts’ matches. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last 16 games and in each of their last 17 away fixtures. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in their last 12 away matches. These are total-match figures, so they do not identify which side scored. For Thun, an early goal would be a break from their scoreless Conference League start; for Hearts, the challenge is to improve on their recent European away scoring record.
Neither team’s recent overall form makes a result straightforward to call: both have recorded one win, one draw and three losses in their last five matches. Hearts’ longer run of games with goals, especially before half-time, provides the clearest statistical angle, while Thun’s European results are a reason for caution. With both clubs still seeking a first Conference League win, the opening period could be important in determining whether the match remains tight or develops into the more open contest seen in some of their latest domestic results.
Thun vs Hearts prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 84% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Thun
Hearts
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2