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Tigres UANL
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Pumas UNAM
Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 6:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 6:03 AM
The second round of the Clausura 2026 continues with one of the most anticipated fixtures of the weekend as Tigres UANL host Pumas UNAM at the Estadio Universitario. This clash has become a modern classic in Mexican football, with both clubs often compared for their success and passionate fan bases. Tigres, who finished runners-up last season, are looking to build on their strong start, while Pumas aim to prove they can compete against one of the league’s most consistent sides.
Tigres UANL come into this match after a solid 1-2 away victory against Atlético San Luis on January 12, 2026. That result extended their positive momentum, as they have now recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. The team’s attacking efficiency remains steady, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game during this stretch.
In the broader context of the Liga MX season, Tigres have been one of the most reliable teams, with a record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and only 3 losses. Their offensive output of 1.9 goals per match combined with a disciplined defense conceding just 1.0 goal per game highlights their balance and consistency. At home, they have been particularly dominant, remaining unbeaten at half time in their last 18 home matches in the league.
Another notable trend is their ability to maintain intensity throughout the match. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 Liga MX fixtures, showing that Tigres often find ways to break down opponents as the game progresses. Their resilience and attacking depth make them a formidable side, especially when playing in front of their home supporters.
Pumas UNAM arrive at this encounter following a 1-1 draw against Querétaro on January 11, 2026. Their recent form mirrors that of Tigres, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five outings. Offensively, they have been more prolific, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, but their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in the same period.
In the current Liga MX campaign, Pumas hold a record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 1.4 goals per game while allowing 1.5. Their away performances have been entertaining but inconsistent, with Over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 20 away matches. However, defensive fragility continues to haunt them — they have conceded at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 away fixtures.
Another recurring pattern is their tendency to be involved in open, attacking games. In 19 of their last 21 away matches, there have been goals in the second half, and in 18 of their last 20, the first half has also produced at least one goal. This suggests that Pumas rarely play in low-scoring encounters, especially on the road, which could make this fixture particularly entertaining for neutral fans.
When it comes to recent meetings, Tigres UANL have had the upper hand. In their last five head-to-head clashes, Tigres remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on September 21, 2025, a result that reflected the competitive balance between the two sides.
Given both teams’ attacking tendencies and the statistical trends, this match is expected to feature several scoring opportunities. Tigres’ home strength and Pumas’ open style of play could combine to produce a lively contest. The hosts’ ability to control the tempo and maintain defensive discipline might give them a slight edge, but Pumas’ offensive potential ensures that the visitors cannot be underestimated.
Both teams have shown a pattern of scoring in the second half, which could once again be decisive. If Tigres manage to impose their rhythm early and exploit Pumas’ defensive lapses, they could secure another important home victory. However, Pumas’ attacking form suggests they are capable of finding the net, making a high-scoring affair a realistic scenario.
According to the latest probabilities, Tigres UANL are favorites with a 61% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 24% and a Pumas UNAM win at 16%. The data also indicates a balanced outlook for goals, with Over 2.5 goals at 48% and Under 2.5 goals at 52%. Both Teams To Score is nearly even, with Yes at 48% and No at 52%.
Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tigres UANL
Pumas UNAM
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1