The sixth round of the Clausura 2026 continues with an intriguing clash between Toluca and Tijuana, two sides that remain unbeaten so far in the competition. The match will take place at the Nemesio Diez, where the home team will look to extend their strong start and prepare for their upcoming Champions Cup commitments. Both teams have shown defensive solidity, but they now face a crucial test that could end one of their unbeaten runs.

Toluca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Toluca currently sit sixth in the Liga MX standings with two wins and three draws, collecting nine points. They have scored five goals and conceded only two, maintaining one of the best defensive records in the league. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Cruz Azul on February 7, following two consecutive goalless draws against Tigres and Puebla. Despite their attacking struggles in recent weeks, the reigning back-to-back champions remain one of the toughest teams to beat.

At home, Toluca have been exceptional. They have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home matches in Liga MX, winning most of them and regularly finding the net. In fact, over 1.5 goals have been scored in 19 of those 20 home fixtures, and they have scored at least once in nearly all of them. Their consistency at the Nemesio Diez has been a key factor in their recent success, including victories in the last two finals played on their own turf.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 0.4.


• Season record: 16 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses (2.0 goals scored per match, 0.9 conceded).


• Unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home games.


• Over 0.5 goals at half time in 18 of their last 20 home matches.

Among their standout players, Santiago Simón has been a key figure in midfield, providing creativity and energy. His performances have earned him recognition in the team of the week earlier this season. Toluca’s defensive line, led by experienced figures such as Unai Bilbao, continues to be one of the most reliable in the competition.

Tijuana’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Tijuana arrive in tenth place with one win and four draws, totaling seven points. Although they remain unbeaten, their inability to convert draws into wins has frustrated their supporters. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Puebla on February 7, following a 2-2 draw with Monterrey and a 1-1 draw against Atlético San Luis. The team’s main challenge has been turning possession into goals, as they have lacked the attacking sharpness that characterized them last season.

Despite these issues, Tijuana’s defensive organization has been solid, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Their season record shows nine wins, ten draws, and six defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. They have also managed to keep several clean sheets recently, including three matches with under 0.5 total goals scored.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 0.8.


• Season record: 9 wins, 10 draws, 6 losses (1.6 goals scored per match, 1.3 conceded).


• Under 0.5 goals in 3 of their last 12 Liga MX matches.


• Last head-to-head vs Toluca: 0-0 (October 23, 2025).

Defender Unai Bilbao has been one of Tijuana’s most consistent performers this season, starting every match and contributing a goal. His leadership at the back has been crucial in maintaining the team’s unbeaten run. However, the visitors will need more attacking efficiency if they want to challenge Toluca on their home ground.

Match Analysis and Prediction

Both Toluca and Tijuana enter this fixture unbeaten, but their paths have been quite different. Toluca’s home dominance and defensive strength make them favorites, while Tijuana’s resilience and ability to draw games suggest they will not go down easily. Historically, Toluca have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and conceding less than a goal per game on average.

Given the current form and statistical trends, this encounter could be tightly contested but with opportunities for both sides to score. Toluca’s attacking potential at home and Tijuana’s balanced approach point toward a match where both teams find the net. The home side’s strong record at the Nemesio Diez, combined with their need to regain scoring rhythm, could make the difference in the final outcome.

Toluca vs Tijuana prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.