Tools
TOP Oss
1 - 2
FT
NAC Breda
Prediction published on Aug 5, 2026 6:10 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 5, 2026 6:10 PM
TOP Oss and NAC Breda meet on Friday, August 7, 2026, in the opening round of the Eerste Divisie season. NAC return to the second tier after finishing 17th in the Eredivisie, while TOP Oss enter the new campaign following a disappointing season in which they collected 44 points from 38 matches and finished 16th. The available ranking data places TOP Oss 11th and NAC Breda third. Both teams recorded three wins and two defeats across their last five matches, but their goal figures and recent trends point towards an open contest. The previous meeting also produced goals, ending in a 2-2 draw on July 5, 2025.
TOP Oss approach their first league assignment after a mixed sequence of results. Their last five matches brought three wins and two defeats, with no draws. During that period, they averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match, illustrating how frequently their games have developed into high-scoring encounters. Their most recent result was a 3-1 defeat against Genk on August 1, 2026.
The hosts previously recorded a 3-1 victory over Wattenscheid and were also involved in an extraordinary 8-4 win against Almere City FC. Their defeats in the same broader run included a 1-0 loss to MSV Duisburg and a 4-1 setback against Go Ahead Eagles. These scorelines underline both their capacity to create chances and their vulnerability at the other end of the pitch.
The long-term scoring patterns surrounding TOP Oss are especially notable. Their last 20 matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals, while the same outcome has occurred in each of their previous 19 Eerste Divisie fixtures. The sequence remains strong when focusing only on home games: over 1.5 total goals were recorded in their last 12 home matches and in their last 11 home league fixtures.
The home statistics become even more emphatic at the higher scoring line. Each of TOP Oss’s previous nine home matches produced over 2.5 total goals, including all of their last 11 at home in the Eerste Divisie. There has also been at least one second-half goal in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures, as well as in each of their previous 16 league matches overall. However, TOP Oss have been behind at half-time in their last four home league games, an early-match trend they will want to reverse.
NAC Breda begin the campaign back in the Eerste Divisie after relegation from the Eredivisie. They ended the previous top-flight season in 17th place, ten points ahead of the team in 18th, but their direct relegation had already been confirmed before the conclusion of the campaign. Their immediate challenge is an away fixture against a TOP Oss side whose recent matches have consistently delivered goals.
NAC’s preparation produced the same basic five-match record as their opponents: three victories and two defeats, without a draw. They scored an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceded at the same rate. Their sequence began with a 2-1 victory over HSV Hoek before a 3-1 defeat against Excelsior Rotterdam. NAC then won 2-1 against Sporting Lokeren and defeated OFI Crete 3-2, before closing their preparations with a 1-0 loss to Bolton Wanderers on August 1, 2026.
Those results show that NAC were able to respond after their first defeat and win consecutive matches, although they ended the run without scoring against Bolton Wanderers. Their away record is the more significant concern ahead of this fixture: NAC Breda have failed to win 19 of their last 20 away matches. That extended sequence adds uncertainty to an opening game in which their recent five-match results would otherwise appear reasonably encouraging.
The head-to-head record nevertheless favours NAC Breda. From the five meetings included in the supplied summary, TOP Oss have recorded no wins, with two draws and three defeats. Across those games, TOP Oss averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The latest encounter was more balanced, however, as the teams shared four goals in a 2-2 draw.
The statistical picture suggests a match shaped by two competing trends. On one side, TOP Oss have a powerful sequence of high-scoring home fixtures. Their recent averages of 2.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded also indicate that their matches can change quickly, with opportunities appearing at both ends. On the other side, NAC Breda arrive with a prolonged struggle to win away from home, having gone without an away victory in 19 of their last 20 attempts.
TOP Oss will look to make home advantage count, but their recent defensive numbers leave little room for complacency. Conceding 2.6 goals per match across the last five means that even a productive attacking display may not be enough unless they also become more secure without the ball. Their run of four consecutive home league matches in which they trailed at half-time further highlights the importance of making a more controlled start.
NAC Breda’s three wins from five preparation matches provide a positive element, yet their final 1-0 defeat and difficult away sequence prevent this from looking straightforward. Their average of 1.6 goals both scored and conceded across the last five games reflects a more balanced profile than that of TOP Oss. Even so, the 2-2 scoreline in the latest head-to-head meeting shows that NAC can also be drawn into an open contest against these opponents.
Set pieces may contribute to the rhythm of the game. More than 7.5 total corners were recorded in 24 of TOP Oss’s last 25 matches and in 23 of their last 24 Eerste Divisie fixtures. At home, that threshold was reached in 19 of the previous 20 games. The higher mark of over 8.5 corners also landed in 23 of their last 25 matches, 22 of their last 24 league games and 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. Combined with the persistent goal trends, these numbers support expectations of an active and eventful Eerste Divisie encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
TOP Oss
NAC Breda
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
1
9
5
5
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2