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Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Torino and Bologna promises to be a tense and balanced encounter. Taking place at the Olimpico Grande Torino, this fixture marks the 25th round of the Italian top flight. The home side currently sit 13th in the standings with 27 points, while the visitors occupy 10th place with 30. Both teams are looking to bounce back after inconsistent runs that have seen them drop valuable points in recent weeks. The reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw, and another tight contest could be on the cards.
Torino approach this match after a 2-2 draw away to Fiorentina on February 7, a result that followed their elimination from the Coppa Italia at the hands of Inter. The Granata have struggled for consistency, recording just one win in their last five matches across all competitions, alongside one draw and three defeats. During this period, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 2.4 on average.
In Serie A, Torino’s overall record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their home form has been mixed, but they did manage a 1-0 victory over Lecce in their most recent league game at the Olimpico Grande Torino. Another win here would mark their first back-to-back home victories since October. Historically, however, Torino have found it difficult to break down Bologna’s defense, failing to score in their last two home meetings against the Rossoblù.
Despite their mid-table position, Torino remain one of the most unpredictable sides in the league. They have shown flashes of attacking potential, particularly on the counterattack — an area where they have scored six goals this season, the joint-highest in Serie A. Yet, their defensive lapses have cost them dearly, as they have also conceded six goals from counterattacks, the most in the division.
Bologna travel to Turin after a 1-1 draw against Lazio on February 11, a result that ended a run of four consecutive defeats in Serie A. Their recent form has been far from ideal, with just one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). During this stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, Bologna’s record stands at 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
The Rossoblù have been involved in entertaining away fixtures, with Over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 14 away matches. They have also seen at least one goal in the second half in all of their last 13 games, showing a tendency for late drama. However, their defensive issues remain a concern — Bologna have conceded in each of their last 12 Serie A matches and in 19 of their last 20 overall.
Historically, Bologna have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. They are unbeaten in their last five league meetings with Torino, keeping four clean sheets in that span. The last time they managed a longer unbeaten streak against the Granata was between 1965 and 1968. Despite their current struggles, Bologna’s attacking approach and ability to score in away games could make them dangerous opponents once again.
The recent history between these two sides suggests a close and low-scoring affair. The last five head-to-head meetings have produced an average of 1.8 total goals per game, with Torino failing to win any of them (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats). The most recent encounter, played on October 29, 2025, ended 0-0. Both teams have struggled to find the net consistently in this fixture, and another tight contest could be expected.
Torino’s main challenge will be to convert their home advantage into goals. Their attacking line, led by Simeone and supported by Vlasic, will need to be more clinical against a Bologna defense that has shown vulnerability in recent weeks. On the other hand, Bologna’s strength lies in their dynamic midfield and quick transitions, with players like Ferguson and Orsolini capable of creating chances from wide areas. Given both teams’ recent defensive records, the match could hinge on which side manages to stay organized at the back.
TORINO (4-2-3-1): Paleari; Marianucci, Maripan, Coco, Lazaro; Ilkhan, Casadei; Pedersen, Vlasic, Adams; Simeone.
BOLOGNA (4-2-3-1): Skorupski; Joao Mario, Vitik, Lucumì, Miranda; Freuler, Moro; Orsolini, Ferguson, Rowe; Castro.
Unavailable: Pobega (suspended), De Silvestri, Lykogiannis (injured).
Both sides enter this match under pressure to improve their league positions. Torino will rely on their home support and counterattacking efficiency, while Bologna will look to exploit their opponents’ defensive gaps. The statistical indicators point toward a balanced contest, with neither team showing consistent dominance in recent weeks. Given Bologna’s tendency to concede but also to score away from home, and Torino’s struggles in front of goal, a cautious and tactical battle is expected.
Considering the data, the most likely scenario appears to be a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for either side. The defensive fragility of both teams could still allow for moments of excitement, particularly in the second half, where Bologna have been most productive this season.
Torino vs Bologna prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1