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Prediction published on Dec 11, 2025 9:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 11, 2025 9:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A fixture sees Torino host Cremonese at the Grande Torino Stadium in what promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. The home team are struggling near the bottom of the table, while the visitors are enjoying a surprisingly strong campaign. With the season approaching its midpoint, this clash could have significant implications for both ends of the standings.
Torino enter this match in a difficult moment, having lost 2-3 against Milan in their most recent outing on December 8, 2025. The Granata have gone five games without a win, recording 0 victories, 2 draws, and 3 defeats in that stretch. Their defensive issues have been a major concern, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match over the last five fixtures, while scoring just 1.2 on average.
Across the season, Torino’s record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. The team’s struggles at the back have made them the league’s most fragile defense, and their last league victory dates back to late October. The club’s management has already undergone changes, with the sporting director replaced in an attempt to spark a reaction within the squad.
Despite their poor form, Torino have historically performed well against Cremonese. They are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 Serie A meetings with the Grigiorossi, and their last defeat in this fixture came over three decades ago. However, the current run of three consecutive league losses — against Como, Lecce, and Milan — has raised alarm bells, as the Granata risk matching their worst losing streak since early 2020.
Cremonese arrive in Turin full of confidence after a 2-0 home victory over Lecce on December 7, 2025. That result marked their second consecutive win, following a solid start to the season that has placed them in 8th position with 20 points. Their recent form shows 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Under their current momentum, Cremonese have been one of the pleasant surprises of the campaign. Their balanced approach has yielded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses overall, with a goal difference that reflects both attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. Interestingly, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in each of their last 10 Serie A matches, showing their tendency to grow stronger as games progress.
Historically, Cremonese have struggled away to Torino, with only one win in seven visits. However, their current form suggests they could challenge that record. The team’s attacking play has been particularly effective from wide areas — they have scored more goals from crosses than any other side this season — while Torino have conceded several goals from similar situations, a tactical detail that could influence this encounter.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Torino are desperate to halt their losing streak and regain confidence, while Cremonese are aiming to continue their impressive run and possibly secure a third straight win — something that would be historic for the club in Serie A. The Granata’s main challenge will be tightening their defense, especially against a side that thrives on aerial deliveries and second-half surges.
In terms of head-to-head history, Torino have the upper hand, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five meetings, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. The last encounter between the two sides ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting that goals are not uncommon when these teams meet. However, given Torino’s current struggles in attack and Cremonese’s disciplined structure, a low-scoring contest could be on the cards.
Both teams have shown mixed results in front of goal this season, and the statistical trends point toward a cautious affair. Torino’s last few matches have often featured fewer than three goals, while Cremonese’s defensive organization has been key to their recent success. The combination of these factors supports the expectation of a tight, tactical battle decided by small details.
According to the latest data, the most likely outcome for this Serie A clash is Under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 53%. Both sides have shown limited attacking consistency, and Torino’s need to stabilize defensively could lead to a more conservative approach. Expect a balanced match where chances are scarce and the margin for error is minimal.
Torino vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1