Tools
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 5:16 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 5:36 PM
On Sunday, October 26, the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will host the Serie A Matchday 8 lunch fixture between Torino and Genoa, two teams in search of crucial points to improve their league standing. The home side, after a difficult start, seems to have found the right path, collecting four points in the last two tough matches against Lazio and Napoli, the latter defeated 1-0 last weekend. The victory against the Italian Champions has given Baroni's men a huge confidence boost, while temporarily moving them out of the relegation zone. Torino’s goal now is to leverage the momentum from the win over Napoli to make another step forward towards the mid-table. The situation is desperate for Genoa, still searching for their first win of the season. Vieira’s squad, whose future might be at risk, urgently needs points to send a signal to direct relegation rivals, and above all, to escape the bottom of the table as soon as possible. This match is therefore crucial for both teams, even if the standings indicate that for the visitors, it is almost a last chance to finally reverse their fortunes.
In the last Serie A round, played on October 19, Torino secured an impressive 1-0 win over Napoli thanks to a goal from former player Giovanni Simeone. In the last five matches, the Granata have shown mixed results, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
After seven Serie A games, Marco Baroni’s team has collected 8 points, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 goals and conceding 13. Ahead of the match against Genoa, the former Lazio coach will be without Anjorin, Aboukhlal, and Nkounkou. Up front, a two-striker formation with Che Adams and Giovanni Simeone is expected to start.
At home, Torino has played five matches so far with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring and conceding 3 goals each. The team boasts a solid home trend, having won their last two home games 1-0 against Pisa (Coppa Italia) and Napoli, showing strong defensive resilience at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
Genoa drew 0-0 against Parma in their last Serie A match (with a missed penalty by Cornet in stoppage time), ending a two-game losing streak against Lazio and Napoli. In the last five matches, the Rossoblù have collected 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
After seven Serie A games, Patrick Vieira’s men have only 3 points, the result of 3 draws and 4 losses, scoring just 3 goals (second-worst attack in the league) and conceding 9. Vieira will miss injured players Stanciu and Mercandalli, while Ekhator is expected to start in attack instead of Colombo.
Genoa’s away form has been disappointing: in the first three league trips, they collected just 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 5 goals. They arrive after two consecutive away defeats, both 2-1, against Napoli and Bologna.
The prediction for Torino vs Genoa clearly favors the home side, who according to BetMines’ algorithm, have every chance to repeat last weekend’s success against Napoli. The algorithm gives Torino a 46% chance of winning, compared to just 25% for Genoa, with a draw at 29%.
Nevertheless, a closely contested match is expected: the last five head-to-head encounters ended with one win for each team and three draws, producing just four total goals (an average of 0.8 per game).
Considering both teams’ struggles in front of goal, being among the least prolific this season, BetMines expects a tight and tactical match, with under 2.5 goals likely and a real possibility that one team fails to score.
TORINO (3-4-1-2): Israel; Tameze, Coco, Maripan; Lazaro, Casadei, Asllani, Biraghi; Vlasic; Simeone, Adams. Coach: Baroni
GENOA (4-2-3-1): Leali; Norton Cuffy, Ostigard, Vasquez, Martin; Frendrup, Masini; Ellertsson, Malinovskyi, Vitinha; Ekhator. Coach: Vieira
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Genoa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0