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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 22, 2026 5:02 PM
The Derby della Mole returns as Torino and Juventus face off once again in Serie A on Sunday, May 24, 2026. The match promises intensity and emotion, with the home side eager to end a long winless streak in this rivalry and the visitors desperate to keep their Champions League hopes alive. Kick-off is set for 20:45, and both teams arrive with contrasting motivations: pride for Torino, and survival in the top-four race for Juventus.
Torino approach this derby after a 2-1 defeat away to Cagliari on May 17, a result that ended a positive run of performances. Despite the setback, the team has shown improvement in recent months and remains comfortably mid-table. Their overall Serie A record stands at 12 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. In their last five fixtures, Torino have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
At home, Torino have been more consistent, remaining unbeaten in their last five league matches at their own ground, collecting four victories in that span. This strong home form could be crucial in a derby where emotional energy often outweighs tactical balance. Historically, however, Torino have struggled against Juventus, failing to win any of their last 39 league meetings, with their only success coming more than a decade ago.
Offensively, the hosts rely heavily on their main striker, who has been in fine form, scoring in each of the last five home matches. The team will be without Guillermo Maripan due to suspension, while Ardian Ismajli remains a doubt as he recovers from a muscle injury. Tino Anjorin and Zakaria Aboukhlal are also unavailable, limiting Torino’s options in attack. Even so, the Granata will look to capitalize on their home momentum and the passionate support of their fans to challenge their city rivals.
Juventus suffered a painful 2-0 home defeat to Fiorentina on May 17, a result that dropped them from third to sixth place in Serie A. Despite this setback, they remain only two points behind the top four and still have a chance to qualify for the Champions League if they can secure a strong finish to the season. Their overall league record is 19 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
In their last five games, Juventus have registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. The team’s defensive solidity has been a key factor, but their attack has struggled recently, with Under 2.5 goals recorded in each of their last nine Serie A matches. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before halftime in 29 of their last 31 league games, highlighting a pattern of cautious first halves.
On the road, Juventus have been reliable, remaining unbeaten in their last five away fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws). They have also shown strength against lower-ranked sides, winning six of their nine away matches against teams placed 11th or below. However, they will be without key defender Gleison Bremer due to suspension, while Juan Cabal and Arkadiusz Milik are still sidelined. Khephren Thuram remains doubtful, and if he is not fit, Teun Koopmeiners is expected to continue in midfield alongside captain Manuel Locatelli. Up front, Dusan Vlahovic should lead the line, supported by Francisco Conceicao and top scorer Kenan Yildiz, who has netted 10 goals this season.
The Derby della Mole has traditionally been a tight and low-scoring affair, and the most recent meeting between these sides ended in a 0-0 draw on November 8, 2025. Juventus have dominated the rivalry in recent years, but Torino’s resilience at home could make this encounter more competitive. Both teams have shown defensive discipline lately, and given the statistical trends, another match with few goals seems likely.
Torino’s main challenge will be breaking through Juventus’ compact defense, while the visitors must find a way to rediscover their attacking rhythm after several underwhelming performances. The emotional stakes are high: Juventus need a win to stay in the Champions League race, while Torino would love nothing more than to dent their rivals’ ambitions and end their long winless streak in the derby.
Considering the defensive trends and the importance of the occasion, this match is expected to be balanced and tactical, with limited scoring opportunities. Juventus’ superior quality and motivation could give them a slight edge, but Torino’s home form and determination make them a dangerous opponent.
Torino vs Juventus prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
3
7
9
1
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0