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Prediction published on Sep 24, 2025 12:57 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Sep 24, 2025 1:46 PM
The second round of the Coppa Italia 2025/26 brings an intriguing clash between Torino and Pisa at the Olimpico di Torino. Both sides have struggled for consistency in the early stages of the season, and this knockout tie offers a chance to reset momentum. Torino, who have been eliminated at this stage in the last two editions, will be eager to avoid another early exit. Pisa, meanwhile, are battling at the bottom of Serie A and will hope to use this cup fixture as an opportunity to regain confidence. The winner of this match will face Roma in the round of 16, adding further importance to the encounter.
Torino enter this fixture on the back of a disappointing 0-3 defeat to Atalanta in Serie A on September 21. That result highlighted their ongoing struggles in front of goal, as they have managed to score only two goals in their last five matches. Their recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 1.6. This lack of attacking efficiency has been a recurring issue for Ivan Juric’s men.
In the Coppa Italia, Torino have at least shown some resilience, defeating Modena 1-0 in the first round. Their defensive solidity in cup matches is notable, as they have conceded 0 goals so far this season in the competition. Historically, Torino’s home matches tend to be low-scoring affairs: Under 3.5 goals has occurred in their last 19 home fixtures, while Under 1.5 goals at half-time has been seen in 19 of their last 21 home games. However, a concerning trend is that Torino have been trailing at half-time in 6 of their last 10 matches, which could be a vulnerability Pisa will look to exploit.
Pisa come into this tie after a spirited but ultimately unsuccessful effort against Serie A leaders Napoli, losing 3-2 on September 22. That result extended their winless run to five matches, with their last five outings producing 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. They have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2, leaving them in the relegation zone of Serie A. Their inability to secure victories has been a major concern, and they will need to find a way to turn competitive performances into results.
In the Coppa Italia, Pisa’s campaign began with a draw against Cesena, where they failed to score in regular time. Their attacking record in the competition remains poor, with 0 goals scored so far this season. On the positive side, Pisa have shown a tendency to start matches strongly away from home, winning at half-time in 6 of their last 10 away fixtures. Additionally, their matches are rarely goalless affairs, as over 0.5 goals has been recorded in each of their last 20 games, and in all of their last 10 away matches at half-time.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths and weaknesses. Torino’s defensive organization in cup competitions could prove decisive, especially given Pisa’s struggles in front of goal. The hosts will rely on their ability to control the tempo and limit mistakes, while hoping that their attack can rediscover some efficiency. Pisa, on the other hand, will look to capitalize on Torino’s tendency to fall behind early, but their own defensive frailties could leave them exposed.
Historically, these two sides have rarely met in recent years, with their last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw in November 2016 Given Torino’s home advantage, their slightly stronger defensive record, and Pisa’s ongoing difficulties in securing wins, the balance tilts in favor of the hosts. However, the probability data suggests a very tight contest, with both Torino and Pisa given 35% chances of winning, and the draw at 30%. This underlines just how finely poised this match is. Torino vs Pisa prediction by BetMines:
The statistical analysis highlights the Under 2.5 goals market as the most likely outcome, with a probability of 59%. This aligns with both teams’ recent struggles in attack and Torino’s consistent record of low-scoring home matches.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1