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Torino vs Roma Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A - Matchday 38

Torino

0 - 2

FT

Roma

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Marco Di Bello
clear sky 13.9 °C

Prediction published on May 23, 2025 11:03 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 25, 2025 11:36 AM

At the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Claudio Ranieri’s AS Roma will fight for crucial points against Torino FC, managed by Paolo Vanoli, in their bid to secure a place in next season’s UEFA Champions League. The Giallorossi come into this clash on the back of an impressive 3-1 victory over AC Milan, and must win again to keep their hopes alive of overtaking Juventus, who are currently fourth, just one point ahead. Should Juventus fail to beat Venezia, Roma could crown their season with a return to Europe’s top club competition – a goal they haven’t reached since the 2017/18 season. Ranieri’s side, which bid farewell to the fans at the Stadio Olimpico last weekend, has mounted a remarkable comeback in the table: of their current 66 points, 44 were collected in 2025 – matching Bayern Munich’s record and trailing only FC Barcelona among Europe’s top clubs. Regardless of the outcome in Venice, a win is vital for Roma to secure at least fifth place and a guaranteed UEFA Europa League spot, while avoiding being overtaken by Lazio, who are also still in the race and facing a desperate Lecce side battling relegation. Torino, on the other hand, have endured yet another underwhelming season, mostly spent in mid-table, and failed to secure even a top-10 finish, overtaken in recent weeks by newly-promoted Como. Still, Vanoli – in his debut Serie A campaign – has had a decent run and will aim to close the season with a prideful performance in front of home fans. However, tensions remain high in Turin, with the fanbase openly critical of the club’s management. A victory against a top team like Roma could offer some consolation at the end of a joyless season.

 

Torino Recent Form and Key Stats

Paolo Vanoli’s side comes into this match on the back of two consecutive defeats, the latest being a 1-0 loss away to Lecce last weekend. Overall, Torino are going through a rough patch, with just one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five matches – averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Offensively, they have struggled, failing to score in their last two outings, while the defense has been breached in each of their last four games.

Torino are set to finish the season in the lower half of the table, currently sitting on 44 points (10 wins, 14 draws, 13 losses) – five behind Como, who have already locked down 10th place. At home, they lost their most recent game 0-2 to Inter Milan, snapping a nine-match unbeaten streak that included four wins and five draws. That match against Inter remains their only home defeat of 2025.

 

Roma Recent Form and Key Stats

Last weekend’s 3-1 win over AC Milan – with goals from veterans Mancini, Paredes, and Cristante – brought back smiles to the Roma camp after a 2-1 defeat to Atalanta the week before had dented their Champions League hopes. The Giallorossi managed to score three goals in a match for the first time in nearly three months.

Heading into the final round, Roma sit fifth in the table with 66 points (19 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses), still in contention for a top-four finish, just a point behind Juventus. They boast one of Serie A’s best defenses, having conceded only 35 goals in 37 matches, though they are the least prolific among the top nine teams with just 54 goals scored. Away from home, Roma have been solid, losing only once in their last 10 road games, with six wins and three draws.

 

Torino vs Roma Prediction and Tactical Overview

Recent encounters between these two sides have been tight affairs – often decided by a single goal, as was the case in the reverse fixture when Paulo Dybala scored the winner for Roma. Four of the last five head-to-heads have ended with under three total goals, a trend mirrored in Torino’s last nine league matches and in seven of Roma’s last nine.

Defensively, Torino have remained compact under Vanoli’s guidance, particularly at home, thanks in part to standout performances from goalkeeper Milinković-Savić. Offensively, however, they've struggled all season, especially after Duván Zapata’s early-season injury left the team without a consistent goal scorer.

Roma, on the other hand, have often secured narrow victories – frequently 1-0 – capitalizing on moments from players like Dovbyk, Soulé, and Shomurodov before managing the game defensively. Goalkeeper Svilar has been key, keeping 15 clean sheets this season, while defenders Mancini and Ndicka have been pillars at the back.

Given both teams’ scoring difficulties and their defensive solidity, the Torino vs Roma prediction for Matchday 38 of Serie A – as projected by the BetMines algorithm – suggests a low-scoring affair with under 3 total goals.

  • Torino vs Roma prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with Over 2.5 goals at 44%.

  • Torino vs Roma prediction from the BetMines Algorithm predicts a match with Under 2.5 goals at 56%.

 

Torino vs Roma Predicted Lineups

TORINO (4-2-3-1): Milinković-Savić; Dembélé, Maripán, Masina, Biraghi; Ricci, Casadei; Lazaro, Vlašić, Elmas; Adams. Coach: Paolo Vanoli

ROMA (3-5-2): Svilar; Çelik, Mancini, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Koné, Paredes, Cristante, Angeliño; Soulé, Shomurodov. Coach: Claudio Ranieri

Torino vs Roma - Predictions

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Torino vs Roma: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Torino

Roma

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Torino and Roma in Serie A

Who will win ?

Torino vs Roma: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Torino vs Roma be played?
The Serie A match between Torino and Roma will be played on May 25, 2025 at 18:45.
Where will Torino vs Roma be played?
The match between Torino and Roma will be played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino - Italy
Who will referee Torino vs Roma?
The referee for the match will be Marco Di Bello.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Torino vs Roma in the Serie A?
The odds are: Torino to win 5.25, draw 4.33, Roma to win 1.57.
What are the betting odds for Torino vs Roma for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.73 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Torino and Roma score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What are the head-to-head results between Torino and Roma?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Torino and Roma, Torino won 0 times, Roma won 3, and 2 ended in a draw.

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