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Prediction published on Apr 30, 2025 10:45 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 30, 2025 11:16 AM
Last call for Venezia, who visit Torino in the opening fixture of Serie A Matchday 35, desperately hunting for survival points as they aim to finally escape the relegation zone. The Lagunari suffered a clear 2-0 home defeat against AC Milan in their last outing, squandering yet another opportunity to overtake Lecce, who surprisingly drew against Atalanta and now sit two points clear of the chasing duo Venezia and Empoli, both stuck at 25 points. With just four rounds left in the season, Eusebio Di Francesco’s side face an intriguing challenge against a Torino team that has nothing left to play for except a top-half finish, ideally clinging to their current 10th place. Paolo Vanoli's side—missing key players Valentino Lazaro (suspended) and Samuele Ricci (injured)—will rely on their strong home form, having gone unbeaten at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in 2025. It's a great opportunity to bounce back after the 2-0 defeat to Napoli and deliver another joy to the home fans. For the visitors, the urgency is undeniable. Venezia remain the only Serie A side yet to claim an away victory this season. Without a change in this dreadful record, a swift return to Serie B after just one year seems highly probable.
After a positive six-match unbeaten run between February 22 and April 6, Torino have now lost two of their last three Serie A matches. Most recently, they were defeated 2-0 away to league leaders Napoli, with Scott McTominay netting both goals. They remain 10th in the standings with 43 points from 10 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses.
Home record: Torino are unbeaten at home in 2025, recording four draws (against Parma, Juventus, Genoa, and Verona) and four wins (against Cagliari, Milan, Empoli, and Udinese). They’ve averaged 1.25 goals scored and just 0.5 goals conceded per home game. Top scorer Che Adams has 10 goals this season.
The 2-0 home defeat to Milan was a step backward for Venezia, who had previously earned draws against Lecce and Empoli, and a win against Monza. Those results had momentarily reignited their hopes of survival, pushing them to 25 points (4 wins, 13 draws, 17 losses), but Lecce’s draw with Atalanta now puts them two points behind safety.
Away record: Venezia are the only team in Serie A yet to win away from home this season. They’ve collected 8 draws and 9 losses, averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded per game. They come into this match off four straight away draws against Atalanta, Como, Lecce, and Empoli.
Torino head coach Paolo Vanoli has made it clear that their goal is to secure 10th place and finish on the left-hand side of the Serie A table. Beating relegation-threatened Venezia becomes crucial, especially with Como just one point behind. Torino will look to repeat their 1-0 win from the reverse fixture, secured late on by Saul Coco.
Venezia may be unbeaten in their last four away matches, but they have yet to win on the road all season. It’s difficult to imagine that elusive first away victory coming against a side that hasn’t lost at home in 2025. The Lagunari also continue to struggle in front of goal; since the January sale of Joel Pohjanpalo, their top scorer has been midfielder Hans Nicolussi Caviglia with just 4 goals.
From a tactical perspective, Vanoli is expected to revert to a 3-5-2 due to the absences of Ricci and Lazaro. Cristiano Biraghi and Marcus Pedersen will operate as wing-backs, while Eljif Elmas will play off Che Adams. Di Francesco will likely mirror the formation, relying on Przemysław Fila and Caleb Yeboah up front, with Yeboah eager to redeem himself after a disallowed goal against Milan last time out.
Considering Torino’s unbeaten home run and Venezia’s dire away record, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Torino vs Venezia leans clearly towards the victory of the hosts.
Torino (3-5-2): Milinkovic; Coco, Maripan, Masina; Pedersen, Linetty, Gineitis, Casadei, Biraghi; Elmas, Adams. Coach: Paolo Vanoli
Venezia (3-5-2): Radu; Candé, Idzes, Schingtienne; Zerbin, Condé, Nicolussi Caviglia, Busio, Haps; Yeboah, Fila. Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0