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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 3:36 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 3:36 PM
Toronto host CF Montréal in Major League Soccer on October 10, 2026, with the match scheduled for 17:00 local time at Toronto Stadium. Both teams return to club action after the international break looking to improve difficult seasons. Toronto are 13th in the supplied league ranking with six wins, 11 draws and 10 defeats, while CF Montréal are 15th with six wins, six draws and 15 defeats. Their latest meeting ended 0-0, but Toronto’s home scoring record and Montréal’s run of conceded goals suggest this encounter could follow a different pattern.
Toronto enter the fixture after a 2-0 defeat to Nashville SC on September 27. Across their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 2.6 per game. Their season figures show the same attacking average of 1.4 goals, alongside 1.9 conceded per match. The gap between those scoring and defensive numbers has made it difficult for Toronto to turn matches into wins.
Home fixtures have produced a particularly consistent scoring pattern. Both teams have scored in Toronto’s last 19 home matches, with Toronto finding the net and conceding at least once in every game in that sequence. The league-only figures tell a similar story: both sides scored in each of Toronto’s last 18 home MLS matches. Those 18 games also all featured more than 1.5 total goals. This is evidence of Toronto’s ability to score at home, but it also underlines how regularly opponents have found a way through.
Toronto’s recent starts provide another point to watch. They have been behind at half-time in each of their last four MLS matches and in six of their last 10 home league games. Meanwhile, both teams scored after the break in nine of Toronto’s last 15 MLS home fixtures. Those figures do not settle how this match will unfold, but they show that Toronto’s games can remain active beyond the opening period. More than 1.5 total goals have also been scored in their last 11 league matches.
CF Montréal arrive on the back of a 3-1 victory over Cincinnati on September 26. It was one of two wins in their last five matches, a spell that also includes three defeats and no draws. Across those five games, Montréal have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. For the MLS season as a whole, their averages stand at 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
The Cincinnati result offers a positive immediate reference point, although Montréal’s longer defensive sequence remains a concern. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 14 matches, including their last 12 MLS games. The same pattern extends to their last 12 away fixtures. Against a Toronto side that has scored in 19 consecutive home matches, ending that run of concessions would be a significant change from Montréal’s recent results.
Montréal’s away first halves have also been challenging: they have trailed at the interval in nine of their last 14 MLS away matches. Their games have frequently featured later scoring, too, with at least one second-half goal in 21 of their last 23 matches. That combination makes the visitors’ response over the full 90 minutes worth watching, especially if Toronto’s home scoring streak continues.
The most recent head-to-head finished 0-0 on July 16, 2026, a reminder that the scoring trends around these teams do not guarantee goals in any single fixture. The supplied head-to-head summary gives Toronto two wins, three draws and no defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. That record provides context for the matchup, while the current form of both sides presents a separate question.
For Toronto, the contrast is clear: a 19-match home run of scoring has been accompanied by an equally long run of conceding. Montréal have just scored three against Cincinnati, yet have been unable to keep an opponent out across 14 consecutive matches. Toronto’s recent five-game defensive average of 2.6 conceded strengthens the case for Montréal creating a scoring opportunity, while the visitors’ away concession streak points in the other direction.
The result remains difficult to separate from the goals outlook. Toronto have drawn 11 league matches this season, and the teams shared a goalless draw in July. At the same time, the hosts’ repeated home pattern of goals at both ends is unusually sustained, and Montréal’s latest win showed they can find the net. The central question for this MLS preview is whether the July stalemate repeats itself or the longer scoring and conceding runs reassert themselves.
Toronto vs CF Montréal prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Toronto
CF Montréal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0