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Torreense
8:45 PM
October 26, 2026
Amarante
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Oct 24, 2026 8:02 PM
Torreense return to Liga Portugal 2 action on Monday, October 26, when they host Amarante in the eighth round of the season. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:45 at the Estádio Manuel Marques in Torres Vedras. The teams begin the match in 16th and 17th place respectively, giving both a pressing reason to seek three points. Torreense have home advantage but face a short turnaround after a European defeat on October 22. Amarante, meanwhile, arrive after consecutive losses in their most recently reported matches, yet remain only one point from safety. The combination of recent setbacks and the teams’ league positions makes this an important opportunity for each side to change direction.
Torreense have found results difficult to sustain while balancing domestic and European commitments. Their latest outing ended in a 4-1 defeat to Ferencvárosi on October 22, leaving four days between that match and Amarante’s visit. The demands of another fixture so soon afterward are a concern for the hosts, particularly as they try to improve their league position.
Across their last five matches, Torreense have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game in that span while conceding 1.6. Their Liga Portugal 2 record after seven matches stands at one win, three draws and three losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. Those figures show why a stronger result at home matters: Torreense have not been scoring heavily, and their recent defensive numbers leave them little margin for error.
Playing at the Estádio Manuel Marques gives Torreense the advantage of hosting a direct rival in the lower part of the standings. Whether they can make that count so soon after the defeat to Ferencvárosi is a central question in this match preview. A more productive attacking display would help, but avoiding the goals conceded in their latest outing is just as important.
Amarante also need a response. They lost 2-1 at home to Portimonense and were beaten 3-2 by Académica on October 17 in the Taça de Portugal. Those results continue an uneven run: like Torreense, Amarante have one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches. They have scored 1.6 goals per game across that period, but have also conceded 2.0 on average.
The visitors’ Liga Portugal 2 record is one win, two draws and four losses from seven matches. Their league averages are 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The difference between that scoring average and their more productive last five matches is worth noting: Amarante have recently found goals, but those goals have not been enough to prevent defeats.
Amarante are 17th, one place behind Torreense, and just one point from safety. A draw away from home would give them a result, but their position adds to the incentive to pursue a win. One other away statistic offers a different angle on the fixture: under 10.5 corners have been recorded in 20 of Amarante’s last 21 away matches. That is a consistent trend, although it says more about the corner count than the likely number of goals.
Both sides bring similar five-match results into this Liga Portugal 2 meeting, but their recent scoring patterns differ. Torreense have averaged fewer than one goal per game in their last five, whereas Amarante have averaged 1.6. At the same time, the visitors have conceded an average of two goals across that stretch. Torreense’s own recent goals-against average is 1.6, so neither team enters on the back of a convincing defensive run.
There are reasons for each side to approach the match with urgency. Torreense can use home advantage to try to move away from 16th place, though the four-day interval since their European fixture presents a challenge. Amarante have the chance to close the gap to safety, but must improve on a sequence that includes defeats to Portimonense and Académica. The recent 4-1 and 3-2 losses also show that both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals, even if their season-long league scoring averages remain modest.
The contrast between those season averages and the teams’ latest results leaves room for different outcomes. Still, the need for points, Amarante’s recent scoring rate and the goals both teams have conceded provide a basis for expecting more than a single goal in this contest. That reading does not depend on either side taking control throughout; it reflects the opportunities their recent defensive records have allowed.
Torreense vs Amarante prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torreense
Amarante
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1