Tools
Torreense
0 - 2
FT
Chaves
Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 4:07 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 4:07 PM
The upcoming clash between SCU Torreense and Desportivo Chaves promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 14th round in Liga Portugal 2. Scheduled for Sunday at the Estádio Manuel Marques, this match brings together two sides with contrasting recent trajectories but similar ambitions in the race for promotion. Torreense have been one of the most consistent teams in the league, while Chaves are looking to regain momentum after a mixed run of results. With only three points separating the two, this encounter could have a significant impact on the standings.
Torreense enter this fixture sitting third in the table with 20 points, just three behind leaders Marítimo and Sporting CP B. Their campaign has been marked by remarkable consistency, having lost only twice all season. Despite a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Leixões recently, the team from Torres Vedras quickly bounced back with a 0-1 victory over Lusitania FC Lourosa on November 23. That result reaffirmed their strong form, with four wins in their last five matches and an average of 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6.
At home, Torreense have been particularly reliable. The Estádio Manuel Marques has become a tough ground for visiting teams, with most matches producing at least two goals. Across the season, Torreense have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their defensive organization and ability to control games have been key to their success. The team’s attacking balance, combined with a disciplined back line, makes them a formidable opponent, especially in front of their supporters.
Coach and players alike will be eager to maintain their upward trajectory and close the gap on the top two. A win here would not only consolidate their position in the promotion race but also underline their credentials as one of the most stable sides in the division.
Desportivo Chaves currently occupy 7th place with 17 points, six behind the leaders and three adrift of Torreense. Their season has been somewhat inconsistent, characterized by alternating positive and negative results. After suffering three consecutive defeats, Chaves managed to claim a crucial 0-1 away win at Leixões, but they were held to a 0-0 draw against Sporting CP II in their most recent outing. That stalemate cost them the chance to close in on the top positions, leaving them in need of a strong performance this weekend.
In their last five matches, Chaves have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring just 0.4 goals per game and conceding 0.8. Their attack has struggled to find rhythm, while their defense has remained relatively solid. The team’s matches have been notably low-scoring: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 12 games, and Under 1.5 goals at half-time in the same number. This trend reflects a cautious approach, with Chaves often preferring to keep things tight early on before gradually opening up in the second half.
Even away from home, Chaves’ encounters tend to be controlled affairs. In their last 14 away league matches, Under 0.5 goals have been recorded three times, underlining their tendency to engage in low-scoring contests. Despite their struggles in front of goal, Chaves remain a dangerous side capable of grinding out results, particularly when their midfield finds balance and their forwards take advantage of limited opportunities.
This fixture brings together two teams with different dynamics but similar objectives. Torreense have built their success on consistency, defensive solidity, and efficient finishing, while Chaves rely on structure and patience, often waiting for the right moment to strike. The home side’s attacking rhythm and confidence at the Estádio Manuel Marques could prove decisive, especially against a Chaves team that has struggled to score regularly.
Historically, Chaves have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning all three of their recent head-to-head meetings, including a 1-2 victory in February 2025. However, Torreense’s current form suggests that this time the balance could shift. Their ability to control possession and create chances from wide areas may expose Chaves’ defensive lines, particularly if the visitors sit too deep. On the other hand, Chaves’ compact defensive setup could frustrate Torreense, leading to a tactical battle decided by small details.
Given the statistical trends, a tight and disciplined match is expected, with limited scoring opportunities. Torreense’s home advantage and superior momentum make them slight favorites, but Chaves’ resilience ensures that this will be far from straightforward. Both teams will likely prioritize defensive organization, making the first goal crucial in determining the outcome.
The most likely outcome is a Torreense win (1) with a 38% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 29%, while a Chaves win (2) stands at 33%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torreense
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3