Tools
Torreense
4:45 PM
October 15, 2026
Sunderland
Prediction published on Oct 13, 2026 5:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 13, 2026 5:04 PM
Torreense host Sunderland in the Europa League on Thursday, October 15, with both clubs looking to build on victories in their opening league-phase matches. Torreense began with a 2-1 win away to Lillestrom, while Sunderland beat AZ 1-0 at home. The teams are 11th and 16th respectively in the Europa League rankings supplied for this fixture, but neither has carried that winning start into consistent domestic form. Their meeting at the Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in Leiria brings together a Portuguese second-tier side making its European debut and a Sunderland team back in European competition for the first time in more than 50 years.
Torreense reached the Europa League after winning last season's Taça de Portugal. That triumph made them the first club from Portugal's second tier to lift the trophy. They marked their first European fixture with a win at Lillestrom: Alfaro and Pozo scored once each to establish a 2-0 lead before the hosts pulled a goal back. It was a successful start, though their domestic results show why maintaining that momentum matters.
After seven league games, Torreense are one place and one point above the relegation zone. They have scored seven goals and conceded ten in those fixtures. Their latest result was a 1-0 defeat to Tondela on October 10, and their record across the last five matches is two wins, one draw and two losses. In that five-game spell, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Three of their last four games have seen them fail to score, while Daney Jean, their leading league scorer with two goals, has not found the net in his last seven matches.
Recent scorelines also point to closely contested games: Torreense's last three league fixtures have each finished with fewer than three total goals. The 2-1 result at Lillestrom showed they can take chances in Europe, but their league output offers a different picture. Thursday's match gives them an opportunity to follow up their opening Europa League win while addressing the lack of goals that has marked their recent domestic run.
Sunderland qualified for this Europa League campaign through their finishing position in last season's Premier League. Their return to European football began with a 1-0 home victory over AZ, secured by a penalty. That opening result left them with one win, one goal scored and none conceded in the competition before their trip to Torreense.
Their Premier League start has been more difficult. Sunderland are 17th with four points from six games and have won one league fixture, a 1-0 home success against Fulham. They have scored six league goals, three of them in an away defeat to Manchester City. Most recently, they lost 2-0 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion on October 10. Across their last five matches in all competitions, their record is two wins and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded.
Six of Sunderland's last seven games have produced fewer than three total goals, a notable pattern before this visit. The squad picture is not settled either: Habib Diarra and Brian Brobbey may return for the Europa League fixture, while Thomas Meunier is due a fitness test after being injured against Brighton. Sunderland's next domestic match is away to Bournemouth, but first they must try to turn their winning European start into an away result.
Both sides won their first Europa League matches, yet their recent results leave this encounter difficult to separate. Torreense have home advantage and scored twice on their European debut, but their seven goals in seven league games and three scoreless outings in their last four matches raise questions about their current attacking consistency. Sunderland also opened with a victory, although their 1-0 result against AZ fits a broader run in which six of seven games have ended below 2.5 total goals.
The recent defeats add another point of comparison. Torreense went down 1-0 to Tondela, while Sunderland lost 2-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion. Sunderland have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches, compared with Torreense's 1.0, so the visitors' recent defensive record is less reassuring. Even so, neither side has averaged more than one goal scored per game over its respective last five fixtures.
The supplied win probabilities underline how narrow the match looks: 35% for Torreense, 27% for a draw and 38% for Sunderland. There is no clear favourite on those figures. Instead, the most consistent thread in the teams' recent results is the frequency of games with limited scoring. Torreense's last three league matches and six of Sunderland's last seven games have stayed under three total goals, making the number of goals a central question in this Europa League preview.
Torreense vs Sunderland prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torreense
Sunderland
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1