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Torreense
8:15 PM
November 9, 2026
União de Leiria
Prediction published on Nov 7, 2026 8:32 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Nov 7, 2026 8:32 PM
Torreense host União de Leiria at Estádio Manuel Marques in Torres Vedras on Monday, November 9, with kick-off scheduled for 20:15 local time. This Liga Portugal 2 match brings together two sides seeking a more consistent run of results. Torreense return from a 3-2 win over Ararat-Armenia, achieved after playing much of their previous match with fewer players, while União de Leiria arrive following a 2-1 victory over AVS. The visitors have the stronger recent record, but Torreense’s head-to-head results give the hosts a reason for confidence. With both teams needing points, their contrasting form makes this a closely balanced preview.
Torreense sit 13th in Liga Portugal 2. Their league record stands at two wins, four draws and three defeats, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Those figures show why the Ararat-Armenia result offers encouragement without settling every question about their league form: Torreense found three goals in that game, but their scoring average in the division remains below one per match.
Across their last five matches, Torreense have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in that stretch, making their recent defensive record a point to watch against União de Leiria. The 3-2 win on November 5 also came after they spent much of the previous contest at a numerical disadvantage. Returning home with a victory behind them may lift confidence, although the short turnaround makes their response particularly important.
Not every Torreense match has produced goals. Three of their last 13 Liga Portugal 2 fixtures ended with no goals for either side, as did two of their last 10 matches across the stated sample. That is worth keeping in mind alongside the more open 3-2 result: their recent games do not all fit one scoring pattern. At Estádio Manuel Marques, the immediate objective is to turn the momentum of their latest win into a stronger league performance.
União de Leiria are ninth in the league, four places above their hosts. They have four wins, two draws and three defeats in Liga Portugal 2, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with the same 1.4 goals scored per game and an average of 1.0 conceded. On those recent results, the visitors arrive with the better run of form.
The 2-1 win over AVS on October 31 gave União de Leiria another result to build on. It also illustrates the task they face here: they scored twice, but did not keep a clean sheet. Torreense’s latest victory suggests the home side can also create chances, so the visitors’ defensive work could be as significant as their ability to score.
One detail complicates União de Leiria’s otherwise positive recent picture: they have been behind at half-time in each of their last four Liga Portugal 2 matches. That statistic does not erase their three wins in the last five matches overall, but it does show that their league games have not always begun as they would have wanted. Against a Torreense side coming off a demanding contest, the opening period could shape how much pressure each team faces later on.
The form comparison gives União de Leiria an advantage: they have won three of their last five matches, compared with two for Torreense, and their season-long scoring average is higher. The win probabilities supplied for this fixture also put the visitors ahead at 43%, with a Torreense win and a draw each at 29%. Those figures suggest an away win is possible, but they do not make it a straightforward conclusion.
The head-to-head record provides a counterpoint. From Torreense’s perspective, the supplied summary reads four wins, no draws and one defeat, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 3-1 on February 8, 2026. While past meetings cannot determine this result, they make it difficult to dismiss the hosts solely because União de Leiria have the stronger recent form.
Goals are another consideration. Torreense’s last five matches have featured averages of 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded by the team, while União de Leiria’s corresponding figures are 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent stated results were 3-2 and 2-1 respectively, and the latest head-to-head ended 3-1. At the same time, Torreense have also been involved in goalless matches, so an open game is not guaranteed. The both-teams-to-score outcome nevertheless fits the evidence better than a prediction based only on which side wins: Leiria bring the stronger recent record, while Torreense have recent scoring form and a favorable head-to-head summary.
Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torreense
União de Leiria
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1