The third round of the 2025–26 FA Cup brings an all-Premier League encounter as Tottenham Hotspur host Aston Villa at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both sides enter the competition at this stage, and with their league campaigns showing contrasting trends, this tie promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Tottenham will look to use home advantage to bounce back from recent inconsistency, while Villa arrive in London aiming to extend their strong record against the Lilywhites. With both teams eyeing silverware, the stakes could not be higher.

Tottenham Hotspur’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Tottenham Hotspur come into this FA Cup clash after a 3-2 defeat away to Bournemouth on January 7, a result that extended their run of mixed performances. In their last five matches across all competitions, Spurs have recorded just one win, alongside two draws and two losses. During this period, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game, underlining their struggle to maintain balance between attack and defense.

At home, Tottenham’s form has been far from convincing. They have managed only three victories in their last ten matches at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with four defeats and three draws. Two of those wins came in European competition, suggesting that domestic consistency remains elusive. In the FA Cup, the Lilywhites have seen Under 0.5 goals in two of their last ten matches, a sign that their cup games often start cautiously. Ranked first in the FA Cup standings at this stage, Tottenham will be eager to justify that position with a strong performance in front of their fans.

• Tottenham Hotspur lost 3-2 against AFC Bournemouth on 2026-01-07.


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average goals conceded: 1.2.


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 FA Cup matches.


• Head-to-head record vs Aston Villa: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses.

Aston Villa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Aston Villa travel to North London after a goalless draw against Crystal Palace on January 7. Despite that stalemate, Villa’s recent form remains impressive, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing a more dynamic attacking approach compared to their hosts. The Lions have also been remarkably consistent in avoiding draws, with no draws in 21 of their last 22 matches.

Villa’s attacking strength often grows as matches progress — Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 19 of their last 21 games. Their away form has been particularly solid, with five wins in their last seven trips, losing only once. Ranked second in the FA Cup standings, Villa will look to replicate last season’s success when they eliminated Tottenham in the fourth round and reached the semi-finals. Their recent dominance in this fixture — six wins in the last eight meetings — gives them confidence heading into this clash.

• Aston Villa drew 0-0 against Crystal Palace on 2026-01-07.


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.


• Average goals scored: 1.6 | Average goals conceded: 1.4.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 21 matches.


• Haven’t drawn in 21 of their last 22 matches.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Analysis and Prediction

When these two sides meet, the contest is rarely short of drama. The last head-to-head ended 1-2 in favor of Villa on October 19, 2025, continuing their recent dominance over Tottenham. The Lilywhites’ inconsistency and defensive lapses have been a recurring theme, while Villa’s structured approach and attacking efficiency have made them one of the most reliable sides in knockout competitions. Tottenham’s home advantage could play a role, but their inability to convert chances consistently remains a concern.

Villa, on the other hand, have shown resilience and tactical discipline, often finding ways to win even when not at their best. Their ability to score in the second half and maintain pressure late in games could prove decisive. With both teams capable of finding the net, this fixture could see goals at both ends, but Villa’s superior momentum and psychological edge from recent meetings make them slight favorites to progress.

Statistically, the match leans toward an open contest: Both Teams To Score – Yes (59%) and Over 2.5 goals (59%) are the most likely scenarios based on recent trends. Tottenham’s defensive fragility and Villa’s attacking rhythm suggest that the visitors could once again have the upper hand.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa prediction by BetMines:
Aston Villa win (2) with a probability of 35%.