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Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 3
FT
Aston Villa
Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 12:34 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 12:34 PM
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Aston Villa to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, September 19, with both teams searching for their first victory of the new Premier League season. The match begins at 11:30 local time and brings together two clubs occupying the lower reaches of the standings: Tottenham are 17th, while Villa are 19th. Spurs have collected two points from four league fixtures, with Villa one point behind after losing three of their opening four matches. Goals have been particularly difficult to find. Tottenham are yet to score in the competition, while the visitors have averaged only 0.3 goals per league game. However, stronger attacking numbers across the teams’ last five matches in all competitions suggest this contest may not be as uneventful as their domestic records initially indicate.
Tottenham Hotspur have started their Premier League campaign with two draws and two defeats. Their league average stands at 0.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, highlighting the imbalance they must address if they are to move away from the bottom end of the table. They opened with a 3-0 defeat against Brentford, then lost 2-0 at home to Newcastle. Consecutive goalless draws against Nottingham Forest and Everton at least provided some defensive improvement, but the absence of a league goal remains the central issue.
Their latest result was a 3-1 defeat against Liverpool on September 15. Across Tottenham’s last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded one win, two draws and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals both scored and conceded. That broader sample offers a different picture from their Premier League form, with Spurs having also registered two Carabao Cup victories.
Availability remains another concern. Recent signing Sandro Tonali missed the midweek match and is doubtful, while Porro, Kulusevski, Mudryk and Odobert are dealing with long-term injuries. James Maddison has appeared as a substitute in Tottenham’s last two games and could be considered for a larger role. With several changes made to the squad, the team are still working to produce greater attacking cohesion.
Aston Villa have also endured a difficult beginning to their league campaign, taking one point from four fixtures. Their Premier League record is one draw and three defeats, with averages of 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their only league goal so far arrived in a 2-1 home loss to Nottingham Forest, but results in other competitions have provided signs of improvement.
Villa travel after beating Coventry City 3-1 on September 16 in the Carabao Cup. They have also earned a Champions League victory against Club Brugge. Across their five most recent matches in all competitions, the visitors have two victories, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2. Those figures indicate that their attacking problems have been far more pronounced in the Premier League than elsewhere.
Joao Gomes is available again after completing the three-match suspension that followed his first-half dismissal on his debut against Brighton and Hove Albion. Matty Cash and Brian Madjo may also be fit enough to participate. Changes are possible after several players were rested for the midweek cup victory.
Villa have attempted to reshape their attack after losing Ollie Watkins, bringing in Nicolas Jackson from Chelsea. Tammy Abraham, meanwhile, delivered a strong midweek performance. The visitors must now translate their cup and European output into the league, where converting chances has remained a major obstacle.
The Premier League numbers point towards a cautious game between two teams short of confidence in front of goal. Tottenham have not scored in four league fixtures, including consecutive 0-0 draws, while Villa have managed only one goal in the competition. Neither side has won domestically, so ending that sequence will be the main objective at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
However, the wider form introduces the possibility of a more open encounter. Tottenham have averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches in all competitions, while Aston Villa’s corresponding average is 1.4. Villa’s 3-1 cup win at Coventry and their Champions League success show that they can produce more effectively outside the league. Spurs also found the net in their latest 3-1 defeat to Liverpool, despite their continuing Premier League drought.
The recent head-to-head record favors the visitors. Aston Villa won the latest meeting 2-1 on May 3, 2026, and Tottenham’s summary across the listed direct encounters is one victory, no draws and four defeats. Spurs averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in those games. Nevertheless, the match-result probabilities are exceptionally close, assigning Tottenham a 38% chance of winning, Villa 37% and the draw 25%. That narrow split underlines the uncertainty surrounding two teams still waiting for their first league success.
Attacking performance across all competitions, the 2-1 scoreline in the latest meeting and Villa’s relatively high league concession average offer a contrast to the early domestic scoring droughts. The supplied goal probabilities give both teams scoring a 61% chance, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 58%. Tottenham’s run of high corner totals at home is also notable, although it stands against Villa’s sequence of low-corner Premier League games. With the teams’ result probabilities almost level, their ability to turn recent cup and midweek attacking output into league goals may prove decisive.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
1
9
3.5
6
4
3
7
4.5
8
2
7
3