Tools
Prediction published on Apr 28, 2025 2:02 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Apr 30, 2025 1:02 PM
All set at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for the first leg of the UEFA Europa League semi-final between hosts Tottenham Hotspur and tournament sensation Bodo/Glimt. The English side has made it clear for some time that winning the Europa League is their only chance to salvage a disappointing season, currently seeing them languishing in 16th place in the Premier League. Postecoglou’s team has had an excellent European campaign from the outset: after finishing fourth in the group stage, they eliminated AZ Alkmaar in the Round of 16 by overturning a first-leg defeat at home, and then knocked out Eintracht Frankfurt in the quarter-finals with a 2-1 aggregate score. Their best performances, aside from the crucial 0-1 away win in Frankfurt, have come at home, where they remain unbeaten in this season's Europa League — a promising sign ahead of the match against Bodo/Glimt. The Norwegian side, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, managing just one win on the road. Nevertheless, they have made history by becoming the first Norwegian club to reach the semi-finals of a European competition. After finishing ninth in the group stage, Knutsen’s men had a longer path to the semis: overcoming Twente in the playoffs, Olympiacos in the Round of 16, and Lazio in the quarter-finals, the latter eliminated after a dramatic penalty shootout. Heading into this trip to England, Bodo/Glimt's aim is to limit the damage and keep their qualification hopes alive for the return leg at home next Thursday.
In their last 5 matches, Tottenham Hotspur have recorded one draw and one victory (both against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League quarter-finals), along with three defeats in the Premier League against Wolves, Nottingham Forest, and Liverpool. Spurs approach the match against Bodo/Glimt with some significant absences, including Dragusin in defense, and Son's availability in attack remains doubtful.
Postecoglou’s side has so far collected 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the Europa League, scoring 22 goals and conceding 12. At home, they are unbeaten, registering 4 wins and 2 draws, with 13 goals scored (an average of 2.16 per match) and only 4 conceded (0.66 per match). More broadly, Tottenham have not lost any of their last 12 Europa League home matches, securing 10 wins and 2 draws.
Following a 3-1 defeat to Lazio in the Europa League quarter-final second leg (eventually advancing after penalties), Bodo/Glimt have collected one draw and two wins between the Norwegian league and cup competitions. Coach Knutsen will have to do without three key players against Tottenham: midfielders Evjen and Berg, and striker Helmersen, all suspended.
The Norwegian underdogs have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats in their Europa League journey so far, scoring 27 goals and conceding 20. Their away record leaves room for improvement, with just one win, two draws, and four defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 12 goals across seven matches.
Tottenham Hotspur have proven to be a formidable force at home in this season's Europa League, and this trend is likely to continue against Bodo/Glimt. The Norwegian side has built their European success mostly at home, winning just one match away from their stadium.
Moreover, Spurs have scored an average of over two goals per game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium while conceding very little, whereas Bodo/Glimt have scored just over one goal per away match — and notably, their last away goal was scored by Helmersen, who will miss this match due to suspension.
Therefore, it is expected that the home side will push hard to secure a substantial advantage ahead of the second leg in Norway. As for Knutsen’s men, they will aim to resist Tottenham’s attacks for as long as possible, trying to hit back on the counterattack by exploiting the pace of their wingers.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Bodo/Glimt sees the home team as the favorites to win the first leg of this UEFA Europa League semi-final.
Tottenham Hotspur (4-3-3): Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Udogie; Bergvall, Bentancur, Maddison; Kulusevski, Solanke, Tel. Coach: Postecoglou
Bodo/Glimt (4-3-3): Haikin; Sjovold, Nielsen, Gundersen, Bjork; Fet, Auklend, Saltnes; Blomberg, Hauge, Hogh. Coach: Knutsen
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
Bodø / Glimt
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3