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Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 0
FT
Brentford
Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 10:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 10:03 PM
The Premier League weekend brings another London derby as Tottenham Hotspur host Brentford at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, December 6, 2025. Both sides are level on 19 points, with Spurs sitting 11th and the Bees 13th in the table. This encounter promises intensity, with both teams eager to bounce back from inconsistent runs and climb into the top half of the standings.
Tottenham Hotspur enter this clash under pressure after a difficult spell that has seen them go five league matches without a win. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Newcastle United, a result that at least halted a run of three consecutive defeats. Despite showing attacking intent, defensive frailties continue to haunt Thomas Frank’s side, who have conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game in their last five fixtures.
Across the season, Spurs have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 1.3. Their home form, however, remains a concern. They have lost at half-time in each of their last three home matches, and although goals are rarely in short supply — with Over 0.5 goals at half-time in 19 of their last 20 home games — defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Spurs’ struggles in London derbies have also been notable, with three straight defeats against local rivals.
Injuries have further complicated matters for the hosts. Key attacking players Dominic Solanke, Dejan Kulusevski, and James Maddison are all sidelined, limiting Frank’s options in the final third. On a brighter note, Cristian Romero returned from suspension to score both goals against Newcastle, underlining his importance not only in defense but also as a surprising attacking threat. The Argentine also found the net against Brentford last season and will look to inspire his team once more.
Brentford arrive in north London after a 2-0 defeat to Arsenal, their third loss in five matches. Despite that setback, Thomas Frank’s former club have shown flashes of quality, winning two of their last five games and maintaining a competitive edge in attack. Over the course of the season, the Bees have registered 6 wins, 1 draw, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Brentford’s away form remains a major concern. They have lost six of their last seven league games on the road, though their matches tend to be open affairs — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten away fixtures. Similarly, Over 0.5 goals at half-time has occurred in 21 of their last 23 matches, highlighting their tendency to be involved in lively first halves. The Bees will hope that returning to a back-four system, after deploying a five-man defense against Arsenal, can bring more balance.
Leading scorer Igor Thiago, who has already netted 11 goals this season, is expected to start after being limited to just 30 minutes at the Emirates. Brentford’s injury list remains relatively short, with Fabio Carvalho, Joshua Da Silva, and Antoni Milambo still sidelined due to knee problems. Despite their struggles away from home, the Bees have shown resilience and will be motivated to earn a positive result against their former manager.
This London derby brings together two teams desperate to rediscover consistency. Tottenham’s attacking play has been fluid at times, but their defensive instability has repeatedly undermined their efforts. Brentford, meanwhile, have been more compact but often lack the cutting edge needed to turn good performances into points away from home.
Historically, Spurs have had the upper hand in this fixture, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. However, their last encounter ended in a 2-0 defeat to Brentford in February 2025, a result that will give the visitors confidence heading into this rematch. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and given that BTTS – Yes has landed in 62% of their matches, another open contest could be on the cards.
For Tottenham, the key will be maintaining defensive discipline while capitalizing on set pieces and counterattacks. Brentford’s physicality and direct style could trouble the hosts, especially if Spurs fail to control the midfield. With both teams struggling for form but capable of scoring, a tightly contested draw seems a realistic outcome.
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% probability. Both teams have shown attacking intent but remain vulnerable defensively, suggesting another entertaining and goal-filled London derby at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
3
7
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0