Tottenham Hotspur welcome Everton to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. The Premier League fixture brings together two teams whose opening results have been notably different. Tottenham sit 17th after taking one point from three matches, while eighth-placed Everton remain unbeaten with one victory and two draws. The hosts are still searching for both their first league win and their first goal of the campaign, but their recent defensive numbers offer some encouragement. Everton arrive in stronger form, although they have required late interventions to secure points in each of their last two league games. With the Toffees showing resilience and Spurs holding an excellent home record in this particular matchup, the contest presents a close balance between current momentum and head-to-head history.

Tottenham Hotspur Recent Form and Key Statistics

Tottenham Hotspur have started their Premier League season with no wins, one draw and two defeats. They are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league match, underlining the attacking problems that have prevented them from collecting more points. Their latest appearance ended in a 0-0 draw away to Nottingham Forest on September 5, giving Spurs their first clean sheet of the season but extending their wait for a goal.

The goalless result also included a worrying attacking statistic, as Tottenham failed to produce a shot on target. Omar Marmoush had a one-on-one opportunity but could not convert it. He had previously created three scoring chances during the 2-0 home defeat against Newcastle, making him one of the more involved figures in a difficult start for the team. Savio is another new arrival whose opening period at Spurs has been described as uncertain.

There have nevertheless been signs of defensive progress. Tottenham restricted Nottingham Forest to 0.92 expected goals after allowing Newcastle only 0.72 xG. Their broader five-match record stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. A notable home trend is that over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 20 of Tottenham's last 21 home matches, although that pattern contrasts with their scoreless league start.

Home results over a longer period have been a major concern. Since the beginning of 2024-25, Spurs have lost 21 of their 39 home league fixtures and won nine. Manager Roberto De Zerbi is also dealing with several unavailable players, with Maddison, Kulusevski, Simons, Odobert and Mudryk listed among those missing. The amount of recent change and the arrival of several new signings provide context for the uneven opening, but Tottenham need attacking improvement if they are to turn better defensive displays into victories.

Everton Recent Form and Key Statistics

Everton travel to London unbeaten in their first three Premier League matches. Their record of one win and two draws has produced five points, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game. Across their last five matches in all competitions, the Toffees have registered two victories and three draws, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while allowing only 0.8.

Their most recent match was a 2-2 home draw against Manchester United on September 6. Ainsley Maitland-Niles scored from long range on his Everton debut, registering his first Premier League goal in almost eight years. Everton produced 1.01 xG and restricted Manchester United to 0.69, while also outperforming their opponents across most statistical measures. It was the second league game in succession in which Everton earned a point in stoppage time.

That draw followed another level result and an opening-day 2-0 victory over Crystal Palace. The sequence highlights Everton's ability to remain competitive through the closing stages. Their second-half statistics reinforce that impression: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 24 of their last 25 matches and in 22 of their previous 23 Premier League games. At half-time, however, at least one team has been scoreless in 37 of Everton's last 40 matches.

Thierno Barry has accumulated 2.31 expected goals in the Premier League this season, with only Haaland recording more. Barry is Everton's only recognised striker after Beto was sold to Fiorentina and a deadline-day move for Folarin Balogun was not completed. Jack Grealish returned to Merseyside and played 24 minutes against Manchester United. Manager David Moyes may also be without two midfielders, as James Garner is doubtful and Christian Norgaard is expected to miss the fixture.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton Match Analysis

Current form favors Everton. The visitors are unbeaten, have scored in each league round and have shown the ability to recover late in matches. Tottenham, by contrast, have taken only one point and remain without a league goal. The Toffees' recent average of two goals per match across five outings also places greater pressure on a Spurs side that has conceded 1.7 per Premier League game.

However, the historical matchup provides Tottenham with a stronger argument. Spurs won the latest head-to-head meeting 1-0 on May 24, 2026, and the five-game summary gives them three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They also won both league meetings last season, recording a 1-0 home victory and a 3-0 away success. More broadly, Tottenham have beaten Everton in 12 of their last 17 home league encounters, losing only once.

The game therefore sets Tottenham's favorable head-to-head record against Everton's superior opening form. The win probabilities underline how close the fixture appears: Spurs are rated at 39%, Everton at 36% and the draw at 25%. Tottenham's improving defensive xG figures could help them contain Barry and the visiting attack, but their failure to register a shot on target against Forest cannot be overlooked. Everton's habit of producing decisive second-half moments means Spurs may also need to maintain their concentration until the final whistle.

Despite Tottenham's difficult start, their repeated success in this fixture and their two wins over Everton last season give the home side a narrow route to their first league victory. Marmoush's involvement in recent chances could be important if Spurs finally turn their attacking opportunities into a breakthrough, while another controlled defensive performance would improve their prospects of protecting any advantage.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton prediction from BetMines: Tottenham Hotspur win (1) with 39% probability.