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Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 11-05-2026

Tottenham Hotspur

1 - 1

FT

Leeds United

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Jarred Gillett
broken clouds 8.54 °C

Prediction published on May 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 9, 2026 8:02 PM

The Premier League’s Matchday 36 concludes with a crucial clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United, two sides still fighting for their respective objectives. The hosts sit 17th in the table, just above the relegation zone, while the visitors occupy 14th place and are looking to secure mathematical safety. With both teams among the league’s most porous defenses, this encounter promises entertainment and plenty of goalmouth action.


Tottenham Hotspur’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Tottenham Hotspur approach this fixture buoyed by a vital 2-1 away win against Aston Villa on May 3, a result that lifted them out of the bottom three. That victory extended their unbeaten run to three matches, during which they have collected seven points — as many as they had earned in their previous fifteen league outings combined. The Lilywhites are now chasing a third consecutive Premier League win, something they have not achieved since early 2025.


Despite their recent improvement, home form remains a concern. Spurs have gathered only 11 points from 17 league games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this season, though they have historically dominated this fixture, winning each of their last six home meetings with Leeds. Defensively, however, they continue to struggle, having conceded 30 goals at home — the second-highest tally in the division.



  • Season record: W 9 · D 10 · L 16

  • Average goals scored: 1.3 · Average conceded: 1.5

  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 17 home matches

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in the last 11 home matches

  • Lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 home league games


In attack, Tottenham have shown more spark lately, averaging one goal per match over their last five fixtures. Their ability to find the net early and maintain pressure in the second half has been a key factor in their recent resurgence, with goals scored in both halves in most of their recent encounters. The challenge remains consistency, particularly in maintaining defensive discipline once they take the lead.


Leeds United’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Leeds United come into this match after a convincing 3-1 home win over Burnley on May 1, a result that pushed them further clear of the relegation battle. The Whites have been one of the most consistent sides in the second half of the season, losing only four times since December. Their current run of six unbeaten league matches (three wins and three draws) underlines their resilience and improved balance between attack and defense.


Although Leeds have struggled away from home for much of the campaign, with only two wins from 17 trips, they have become harder to beat on the road recently, losing just once in their last ten away games. Their attacking output has also improved, averaging two goals per match in their last five fixtures, while conceding an average of one.



  • Season record: W 10 · D 13 · L 12

  • Average goals scored: 1.3 · Average conceded: 1.5

  • At least one team failed to score at half time in 31 of their last 33 matches

  • Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 away league matches

  • Unbeaten in their last six Premier League games


Leeds’ attacking play has been dynamic, with multiple players contributing to their recent scoring run. Their ability to create chances both from open play and set pieces has been a major strength, though defensive lapses remain a concern. The absence of key attacking figures due to injury could test their depth, but the team’s collective spirit and tactical discipline have often compensated for individual absences.


Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Tactical Overview


This fixture has traditionally produced goals, and the current form of both sides suggests another open contest. Tottenham’s attacking intent at home often leaves space at the back, something Leeds’ quick transitions can exploit. The hosts will look to press high and dominate possession, while the visitors are likely to rely on compact defending and counter-attacks.


Historically, Tottenham have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning all of their last five meetings with an average scoreline of 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. However, Leeds’ recent defensive improvements and their ability to grind out results away from home could make this encounter more balanced than past editions. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends.


Given the attacking trends — seven of Tottenham’s last ten league games and each of Leeds’ last four have featured over 2.5 goals — spectators can expect an entertaining match. The combination of Tottenham’s need for points and Leeds’ confidence in attack sets the stage for a high-tempo, end-to-end battle.


BetMines Prediction


Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United - Predictions

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Tottenham Hotspur

Leeds United

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

14

Leeds United

38

11

14

13

49:56

47

1.24

D
W
D
W
L
17

Tottenham Hotspur

38

10

11

17

48:57

41

1.08

W
W
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United be played?
The Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United will be played on May 11, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United be played?
The match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United will be played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London - England
Who will referee Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United?
The referee for the match will be Jarred Gillett.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United in the Premier League?
The odds are: Tottenham Hotspur to win 1.75, draw 3.90, Leeds United to win 4.50.
What are the betting odds for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United, Tottenham Hotspur won 5 times, Leeds United won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

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