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Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
FT
Manchester City
Prediction published on Feb 24, 2025 10:23 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 24, 2025 11:33 AM
On Wednesday, February 26, at New White Hart Lane, Tottenham Hotspur, led by Ange Postecoglou, will host Manchester City, managed by Pep Guardiola. This is far from a straightforward clash, as the two teams are experiencing completely different moments of form. The Spurs, after a highly disappointing first half of the season, have significantly changed their trajectory and are coming off three consecutive victories. Despite these recent results, they remain 10 points behind sixth place, making a European qualification still an uphill battle. However, Postecoglou’s men will be determined to go all-in to achieve what seemed impossible just weeks ago. Additionally, Tottenham is still in the Europa League, where they will face Dutch side AZ Alkmaar in the Round of 16. Meanwhile, Manchester City is in a contrasting form, coming off one of their toughest weeks of the season. After being eliminated from the Champions League by Real Madrid, they suffered a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool in the Premier League. Losing to the Reds meant they squandered a chance to overtake Nottingham Forest, who lost to Newcastle, and secure third place. As if that wasn't enough, Newcastle has now caught up with City on points but remains behind due to a weaker goal difference.
Tottenham Hotspur secured their third consecutive Premier League victory with a commanding 1-4 win away at Ipswich. This crucial three points allowed them to climb to 12th place with 33 points (10 wins, 3 draws, 13 losses), 10 points behind sixth-placed Bournemouth.
Notably, Spurs have been one of the least likely teams to draw matches this season, along with bottom-placed Southampton (only 3 draws). Their last draw dates back to December 29 (2-2 vs Wolverhampton). At home, their record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per match.
Despite their 2-0 home loss to Liverpool (goals from Salah and Szoboszlai), Manchester City remains in fourth place, benefiting from Bournemouth and Chelsea’s missteps. However, the defeat to Liverpool highlighted a worrying statistic: without Erling Haaland (injured), City failed to score for the first time in 16 consecutive matches.
One of City’s major issues this season has been a lack of consistency. Focusing only on their last 10 away games, they have won 3, drawn 2, and lost 5. The only encouraging sign is that City has scored in their last 8 consecutive away matches across all competitions.
Both Tottenham and Manchester City are accustomed to handling multiple weekly fixtures, meaning this should be an intense and competitive game.
Additionally, both teams boast two of the top three attacking records in the Premier League (Tottenham: 53 goals, Manchester City: 52 goals). They have already faced each other twice this season (Premier League & Carabao Cup), and both matches saw at least three goals scored.
Considering these factors, BetMines’ algorithm prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City highly favors the Over 2.5 goals market.
Tottenham (4-2-3-1): Vicario; Spence, Gray, Danso, Udogie; Bissouma, Bentancur; Johnson, Maddison, Kulusevski; Son. Coach: Postecoglou.
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Ederson; Lewis, Khusanov, Ake, Gvardiol; De Bruyne, Nico; Savinho, Foden, Doku; Marmoush. Coach: Guardiola.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
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Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
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6
3
7
3.5
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3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1