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Tottenham Hotspur
4:30 PM
August 29, 2026
Newcastle United
Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 5:07 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 5:07 PM
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Newcastle United to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. The Premier League fixture brings together two teams seeking their first league victory of the season after contrasting opening results. Tottenham began with a 3-0 away defeat against Brentford, while Newcastle conceded deep into stoppage time in a 2-2 draw with Liverpool. Both clubs responded by scoring five goals in midweek cup victories, adding to the expectation of an open contest in London. Their two league meetings last season produced seven goals, while Newcastle won this corresponding fixture 2-1 on February 10, 2026.
The Premier League campaign started poorly for Tottenham Hotspur, whose new era under Roberto De Zerbi opened with a heavy defeat. Spurs conceded three unanswered goals at Brentford and consequently enter this match 18th in the early standings, with no points and league averages of 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded.
The response arrived in the Carabao Cup on August 26. Tottenham defeated Charlton Athletic 5-1 in their first home match of the season, offering a much more productive attacking display. Across their last five games, Spurs have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4 per match.
Home form was a significant problem in the previous Premier League season. Tottenham won only three of their 19 league fixtures at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and conceded 31 goals there, the second-highest home total in the competition. More recent trends nevertheless suggest that goals should remain a major feature of their matches:
Marcos Senesi was Tottenham's standout performer against Brentford after being one of five players handed debuts. He led the team for passes with 75, duels won with 12 and successful tackles with five. At the other end, Richarlison managed only 17 touches before being replaced in the 68th minute. Dominic Solanke then started and scored against Charlton, strengthening his case for involvement here. James Maddison also collected important minutes following a lengthy injury, although Pape Sarr, Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, Dejan Kulusevski and Mohammed Kudus are listed among Tottenham's injury absentees.
Newcastle United opened their Premier League season with a dramatic 2-2 draw against Liverpool. Matthias Jaissle's side were only seconds away from collecting all three points before Dominik Szoboszlai scored in the ninth minute of stoppage time. That result leaves Newcastle tenth, with one draw from one league game and averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
The Magpies were also involved in a five-goal match in the EFL Cup. They defeated West Bromwich Albion 3-2 on August 26, with a late strike from Harvey Barnes securing their place in the third round. Barnes came off the bench to score twice and has now produced five direct goal contributions across his last six competitive appearances, consisting of four goals and one assist.
Newcastle's overall five-match sequence contains one victory, two draws and two defeats. During that period, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their defensive record stretches beyond those five matches, with the team allowing at least one goal in 25 of its last 26 fixtures. In addition, 25 of Newcastle's previous 27 games have produced over 1.5 total goals, and the first half has contained a goal in 25 of the last 27.
Away results from the previous league campaign provide another important part of the preview. Newcastle collected 17 points from 19 away matches, registering four wins, five draws and ten defeats. They scored 17 times on their travels, the joint-second-lowest away total in the top flight. However, their record at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is stronger, as they have won three of their last four visits to this venue.
Yoanne Wissa was used in the number 10 role against Liverpool and registered a team-high four shots, finishing the match with exactly 1.0 xG. Newcastle will be without Dan Burn and Tino Livramento through injury. Joelinton, who was a late withdrawal from the opening league match, also remains sidelined.
The available numbers point towards another eventful meeting. Tottenham have failed to beat Newcastle across the five matches covered by the head-to-head summary, recording no wins, two draws and three defeats. Spurs averaged 1.0 goal in those games, while Newcastle averaged 1.8. The latest encounter ended 2-1 to the Magpies, and their two league meetings last season delivered seven goals in total.
Tottenham's 5-1 cup victory demonstrated their attacking potential at home, but the three goals conceded at Brentford showed that their new-look defence may still need time to develop cohesion. Newcastle have similar concerns after allowing two goals against Liverpool and another two against West Brom. Their sequence of conceding in 25 of 26 matches makes a clean sheet difficult to support from the supplied trends.
The first-half data are also notable. Tottenham's home matches and Newcastle's recent fixtures have regularly produced a goal before the interval, while the Magpies have been ahead at half-time in six of their last ten Premier League games. Even so, the broader picture is built around both attacks having opportunities. Tottenham have scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches, Newcastle found the net twice in each of their first two competitive games, and both teams have recently shown defensive vulnerability.
The win probabilities give Tottenham a narrow edge at 41%, compared with 34% for Newcastle and 25% for the draw. However, Newcastle's strong recent record at this venue makes the result market less straightforward. With both sides coming off high-scoring cup matches and the BTTS probability standing at 59%, goals at both ends provide the most coherent conclusion to this Premier League match preview.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2