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Tottenham Hotspur
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West Ham United
Prediction published on Jan 15, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 15, 2026 2:02 PM
The Premier League weekend brings an intriguing London derby as Tottenham Hotspur host West Ham United on matchday 22. Both sides are desperate for points, albeit for different reasons. Tottenham sit in 14th place, looking to climb back into mid-table comfort, while West Ham languish in 18th, fighting to escape the relegation zone. With both teams struggling for consistency, this clash promises intensity, emotion, and potentially plenty of goals.
Tottenham Hotspur enter this fixture under pressure after a disappointing run of results. Their latest setback came in the FA Cup, where they were eliminated following a 1-2 defeat to Aston Villa. In the league, the Spurs have managed just one win in their last six matches (two draws and three defeats), scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.2. Their overall Premier League record stands at seven wins, six draws, and eight losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Despite their struggles, Tottenham’s home ground remains a place where goals are almost guaranteed. Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home matches, and there has been at least one goal before half-time in 18 of those. However, their home record is among the league’s weakest, and the team’s inability to convert chances has been a recurring issue. The arrival of new signing Conor Gallagher could inject some much-needed energy into midfield, especially with several key players sidelined through injury or international duty.
With a passionate home crowd behind them, Tottenham will aim to end their four-match winless streak and reassert dominance over their London rivals, whom they have beaten twice in their last three meetings.
West Ham United approach this derby in dire need of a turnaround. The Hammers have gone ten Premier League matches without a win, and their last league outing ended in a 2-1 home defeat to Nottingham Forest. They did, however, find some relief in the FA Cup, edging past Queens Park Rangers 2-1 after extra time. That victory, though, came against lower-league opposition and may not be enough to restore confidence ahead of this crucial clash.
Defensively, West Ham have been fragile, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 19 matches across all competitions. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with six first-half defeats in their last ten away games. Offensively, they average just 0.8 goals scored per match in their last five outings, while conceding 1.8. Their season record of three wins, five draws, and thirteen losses underlines the scale of their struggles.
There are, however, small positives. Valentín Castellanos scored his first goal for the club in the FA Cup and could be a key figure again. The return of Aaron Wan-Bissaka adds defensive stability, while the team will hope to build on their cup momentum to end their league drought.
Both teams enter this fixture with fragile confidence but a shared need for points. Tottenham’s attacking play has been inconsistent, yet their home advantage and superior squad depth could prove decisive. West Ham’s defensive issues and inability to keep clean sheets make them vulnerable, though their attacking potential means they are always capable of finding the net.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals. Four of the last five meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, and Tottenham’s recent matches have followed a similar pattern. Given the statistics, another open and entertaining contest seems likely, with both sides expected to find the back of the net.
Tottenham’s win probability stands at 56%, with a draw at 23% and a West Ham win at 21%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score is 57%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance. These figures align with the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.
Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham United prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Tottenham Hotspur
West Ham United
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Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0