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Prediction published on Nov 21, 2025 6:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 21, 2025 6:03 PM
The 13th round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash between Toulouse FC and Angers SCO, scheduled for Sunday at 17:15 at the Stadium de Toulouse. The home side started the season brightly but has recently struggled to maintain momentum, going four league matches without a win. Despite this dip, Carles Martínez Novell’s men remain comfortably mid-table in 10th place, well clear of the relegation zone. However, they will be eager to rediscover the winning touch in front of their fans. Angers, on the other hand, are showing signs of revival after a difficult start, and they will travel to the south of France full of confidence.
Toulouse approach this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Lorient on November 9, a result that extended their winless streak to four matches in Ligue 1. Before that, they had drawn with Rennes (2-2) and Le Havre (0-0), following a narrow 1-0 defeat to Monaco. Their record over the last five games stands at one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, Toulouse have registered four wins, four draws, and four losses, maintaining a balanced goal ratio of 1.5 scored to 1.3 conceded per game.
Despite their solid defensive structure, Toulouse have found it difficult to impose themselves early in matches, having lost at half time in six of their last ten Ligue 1 fixtures. At home, their form has been inconsistent, with just one victory in their last five outings at the Stadium. Injuries have also disrupted Martínez Novell’s plans: Niklas Schmidt, Abu Francis, Mário Sauer, and Ilyas Azizi are sidelined, while goalkeeper Guillaume Restes remains doubtful due to a thigh issue. Nevertheless, the coach can rely on defensive pillars like Charlie Cresswell and Djibril Sidibé, while Dayann Methalie continues to impress on the left flank. In midfield, Cristian Cásseres Jr. provides energy and ball-winning ability, and in attack, Frank Magri and Yann Gboho will look to end the team’s scoring drought.
Angers SCO have turned a corner after a rough patch earlier in the season. Their 2-0 victory over Auxerre on November 9 confirmed their resurgence, marking their second win in five matches (two wins, two draws, one defeat). During this run, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their only recent loss came narrowly against Lille (1-0), but they have also managed to hold strong opponents such as Monaco (1-1) and Marseille (2-2). These results have lifted them to 13th place in the table, three points above the relegation zone.
Under coach Alexandre Dujeux, Angers have rediscovered their defensive discipline and attacking efficiency. Goalkeeper Hervé Koffi has been a standout performer, while midfielders Haris Belkebla and Himad Abdelli continue to provide balance and creativity. In attack, young forwards Prosper Peter and Sidiki Chérif have been revelations, each scoring three goals so far this season. The team’s away performances have also improved, with Angers showing resilience and tactical maturity. Notably, their matches tend to be tight: under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 11 away games, and at least one team has failed to score before halftime in 34 of their last 36 Ligue 1 fixtures. This pattern suggests another cautious start could be on the cards in Toulouse.
This encounter promises to be a balanced and tactical affair. Toulouse will look to control possession and exploit their home advantage, but their recent inability to convert chances could once again prove costly. The hosts have drawn their last three league matches, often struggling to break down compact defenses. Meanwhile, Angers arrive in better form and with growing confidence, having lost just once in their last five outings. Their defensive organization and quick transitions could trouble a Toulouse side that has occasionally looked vulnerable when pressed high.
Historically, Toulouse have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 4-0 triumph in March 2025. However, given the current dynamics, a low-scoring contest seems likely. Both teams have seen the “Under 2.5 goals” bet land in their last two Ligue 1 matches, and with both sides prioritizing defensive solidity, another tight scoreline could be expected. Angers’ recent momentum and Toulouse’s inconsistency suggest that the visitors might be capable of securing at least a point from this trip.
TOULOUSE (4-2-3-1): Restes (or Haug); Sidibé, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Methalie; Cásseres Jr., Genreau; Gboho, Magri, Donnum; Dallinga. Coach: C. Martínez Novell
ANGERS SCO (4-3-3): Koffi; Kalumba, Hountondji, Camara, Doumbia; Belkebla, Abdelli, Biumla (or Capelle); Peter, Chérif, El Melali. Coach: A. Dujeux
The most likely outcome is an Under 2.5 goals result with a 57% probability. Both teams have shown defensive discipline in recent weeks, and their latest matches have consistently produced few goals. A cautious and balanced encounter is expected at the Stadium, with neither side likely to take excessive risks.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Toulouse
Angers SCO
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1