The 18th round of Ligue 1 continues this Saturday evening with an intriguing clash between Toulouse FC and OGC Nice. The encounter at the Stadium promises to be a key moment for both sides, each with different ambitions at this stage of the season. Toulouse are enjoying a solid campaign, sitting comfortably in the top half of the table, while Nice are looking to climb away from the lower positions and regain consistency after a difficult first half of the season. Both teams also come into this fixture with confidence from their recent progress in the Coupe de France, adding extra motivation to perform well in the league.

Toulouse’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Toulouse approach this match in good shape, having collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five Ligue 1 outings. Their most recent league result was a 1-1 draw against Angers SCO on January 10, 2026. Over the course of the season, the team has shown balance and resilience, with a record of 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers reflect a side capable of competing effectively against most opponents.

Although their winning streak was halted by a heavy 0-3 defeat to Lens, Toulouse remain in 8th place in the Ligue 1 standings. Their home performances have been a key factor in maintaining this position, often combining defensive discipline with quick transitions in attack. The team’s recent run in the Coupe de France has also boosted morale, with victories over Lyon-Duchère and Angers showing their ability to handle knockout pressure.

In terms of personnel, Toulouse will have to cope with several absences. Emersonn is suspended following his red card against Lens, while Dayann Methalie and Abu Francis remain sidelined through injury. There are also doubts surrounding Álex Domínguez, Djibril Sidibé, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Alexis Vossah and Aron Dønnum. Despite these setbacks, Charlie Cresswell continues to impress in defense, and Santiago Hidalgo has been in fine form up front, scoring three goals in his last six appearances.

Nice’s Recent Form and Key Stats

OGC Nice are slowly rebuilding confidence after a turbulent period. Under new coach Claude Puel, the team has managed to stop the negative run that marked the end of the previous managerial era. Their latest Ligue 1 result was a 1-1 draw against Nantes on January 11, 2026, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to two matches in all competitions. In the league, Nice currently sit 14th with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Defensively, the team still struggles to keep clean sheets. They have conceded at least one goal in their last 12 matches and in each of their last 14 away games in Ligue 1. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 21 of their last 23 league fixtures, highlighting their tendency to be involved in open, attacking games after the break. Despite these defensive issues, Nice have shown signs of improvement, particularly in their ability to fight back and secure points away from home.

The squad remains depleted, with several players unavailable due to injuries or international duty. Yehvann Diouf and Antoine Mendy are away at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Moïse Bombito, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Jérémie Boga and Terem Moffi are still out. There are also doubts over Dante, Djibril Coulibaly, Gabin Bernardeau, Sofiane Diop and Isak Jansson. On a positive note, Jonathan Clauss has rediscovered his creative touch with two assists in the Coupe de France, while Tanguy Ndombélé is gaining rhythm in midfield. Up front, Elye Wahi has made an immediate impact, scoring on his Ligue 1 debut for Nice and quickly becoming a key attacking threat.

Toulouse vs Nice Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Toulouse have been consistent at home and remain difficult to beat, while Nice are in the midst of a rebuilding phase but have shown resilience under their new coach. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with Toulouse recording 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-1 victory for Nice in August 2025.

Given the current form and statistics, a tight contest is expected. Toulouse’s attacking efficiency at home could be tested by a Nice side that often concedes but also finds ways to score. The fact that both teams have seen the “Both Teams To Score” bet land in their recent Coupe de France matches suggests another open game could be on the cards. With BTTS – Yes estimated at 56% probability and the Over 2.5 goals market evenly balanced at 50%, goals at both ends seem a realistic scenario.

Nice’s tendency to concede in nearly every away match, combined with Toulouse’s steady scoring rate, supports the idea of a lively encounter. However, Toulouse’s home advantage and Nice’s defensive fragility might slightly tilt the balance toward the hosts, even if a draw remains a plausible outcome.

Toulouse vs Nice prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 56% probability.