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Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 10-05-2026

Toulouse

2 - 1

FT

Olympique Lyonnais

Stadium de Toulouse
Bastien Dechepy
light rain 13.06 °C

Prediction published on May 8, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on May 8, 2026 8:03 PM

The clash between Toulouse FC and Olympique Lyonnais promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Ligue 1 weekend. Scheduled for Sunday evening, this encounter brings together two teams with very different motivations as the season nears its conclusion. Toulouse, comfortably mid-table, will aim to finish in the top half, while Lyon are fighting to secure a Champions League spot. With both sides coming off positive results, the match at the Stadium could deliver plenty of excitement and goals.


Toulouse FC’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Toulouse approach this game with little pressure, sitting 10th in the Ligue 1 standings. Their recent 1-2 away victory against Strasbourg ended a four-match winless streak and restored some confidence. Over their last five league outings, they have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match. This inconsistency has been a theme throughout their campaign, reflected in their season record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.


At home, Toulouse have struggled to impose themselves early, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 Ligue 1 fixtures. Their matches at the Stadium have also been relatively quiet in terms of set pieces, with under 7.5 corners taken in each of their last four home games. Despite these numbers, the team has shown flashes of attacking quality, particularly through players like Emersonn, who has found the net in recent appearances. The defensive pairing of Charlie Cresswell and Rasmus Nicolaisen will again be crucial in containing Lyon’s offensive threats.



  • Ranking: 10th in Ligue 1

  • Last result: 1-2 win vs Strasbourg

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  • Average goals: 1.4 scored, 2.8 conceded

  • Corners: Under 7.5 in last 4 home matches


Olympique Lyonnais’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Olympique Lyonnais are one of the most in-form teams in Ligue 1 at the moment. Their 4-2 victory over Rennes last weekend extended their unbeaten run to five matches, with four wins and one draw. During this period, Lyon have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game, underlining their balance between attack and defense. Over the full season, they have accumulated 18 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 1.1 per match.


Their consistency has been particularly evident in first halves — Lyon have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 league games, and have led at the break in 9 of their last 15 overall, including 6 of their last 10 away fixtures. This strong start often sets the tone for their performances. Defensively, the team has shown solidity, with under 0.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 11 away matches, suggesting a disciplined approach early on. In attack, Corentin Tolisso’s recent form has been outstanding, contributing goals and assists from midfield, while forwards like Afonso Moreira, Endrick, and Roman Yaremchuk have been decisive in recent weeks.



  • Ranking: 3rd in Ligue 1

  • Last result: 4-2 win vs Rennes

  • Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats

  • Average goals: 2.2 scored, 1.0 conceded

  • Half-time record: unbeaten in 18 of last 20 Ligue 1 matches


Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais Tactical Overview


This fixture pits a relaxed mid-table side against a team chasing European qualification. Toulouse will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to exploit any gaps left by Lyon’s attacking approach. Their recent matches have often featured both teams scoring, a trend that could continue given their defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Lyon have been clinical in front of goal, with multiple attacking options capable of making the difference. Their recent victories over top opponents underline their momentum and confidence heading into this clash.


Historically, Lyon have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 1-2 victory earlier this season. Toulouse’s home advantage could help them stay competitive, but Lyon’s superior form and motivation to secure a top-four finish make them the favorites. Expect a dynamic encounter with chances at both ends, especially given that both teams have seen the “Both Teams To Score” market land frequently in recent weeks.


BetMines Prediction


Based on the current data and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards an Olympique Lyonnais win (2) with a 45% probability. Toulouse’s recent defensive struggles and Lyon’s strong attacking form suggest that the visitors are well-positioned to claim another important victory in their pursuit of Champions League qualification.

Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais - Predictions

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Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Toulouse

Olympique Lyonnais

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

4

Olympique Lyonnais

34

18

6

10

53:40

60

1.76

W
W
W
L
L
10

Toulouse

33

12

8

13

47:46

44

1.33

L
L
D
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais: Frequently asked questions

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When will Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais will be played on May 10, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais be played?
The match between Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais will be played at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse - France
Who will referee Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais?
The referee for the match will be Bastien Dechepy.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Toulouse to win 4.20, draw 4.10, Olympique Lyonnais to win 1.75.
What are the betting odds for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Toulouse and Olympique Lyonnais, Toulouse won 1 times, Olympique Lyonnais won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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