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Toulouse
7:45 PM
November 6, 2026
Strasbourg
Prediction published on Nov 4, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 4, 2026 8:03 PM
Toulouse host Strasbourg at the Stadium de Toulouse on Friday, November 6, as the 10th round of Ligue 1 gets under way. The teams are separated by one place but level on points: Toulouse sit 12th, while Strasbourg are 13th. Neither arrives with sustained momentum. Toulouse have won once in their last five matches and are seeking a response to a 2-0 defeat at Olympique Marseille. Strasbourg ended a run of four straight losses with a 5-1 victory over Auxerre. With both sides looking to build a more consistent run, their latest meeting offers an important test of that response.
Toulouse have taken one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game across that stretch. Their league record after nine fixtures stands at two wins, four draws and three losses. Those figures reflect a side that has often remained competitive but has found victories difficult to secure.
Their two most recent Ligue 1 outings brought no goals: a 0-0 home draw with Troyes followed by the 2-0 loss at Olympique Marseille on November 1. Toulouse have also drawn three of their last six matches. Returning to the Stadium de Toulouse gives them the chance to end their two-game winless run, although they will need to improve on their recent attacking returns to do so.
There are personnel concerns for the hosts. Rafik Messali remains unavailable, while Aron Dønnum is suspended. Guillaume Restes is an option in goal, with Christ Tapé, Mark McKenzie and Rasmus Nicolaisen among the defenders mentioned ahead of the match. Further forward, Cristian Cásseres Jr. has supplied five Ligue 1 assists, and Casper Tengstedt has contributed five league goals and one assist. Those contributions give Toulouse identifiable sources of chances and goals as they try to recover from back-to-back matches without scoring.
Strasbourg arrive after a striking change of result. Four consecutive defeats had left them in a difficult spell, but they beat Auxerre 5-1 on November 1. That win is their only victory in their last five matches, a sequence that also includes four defeats. Across those five games, Strasbourg have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Their Ligue 1 record is three wins, one draw and five losses, with season averages of 1.9 goals scored and 2.1 allowed per match.
The Auxerre result featured a notable display from Gessime Yassine, who recorded two goals and an assist. Dario Essugo has also scored twice in the last four league rounds. Their contributions offer Strasbourg encouragement as they look to turn one emphatic win into a steadier run of results. Joaquin Panichelli remains unavailable, while Fábio Baldé's availability is uncertain. Filip Jörgensen is expected to be available in goal.
Strasbourg's scoring record is accompanied by a persistent defensive concern. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 17 Ligue 1 matches and in their last 12 away matches. Every one of their last 17 league games has featured more than 1.5 total goals, a statistic that refers to goals scored by both teams combined rather than Strasbourg's tally alone. Their last 10 league matches have each produced at least one second-half goal. Toulouse therefore face visitors who have recently shown attacking potential but have also given opponents repeated opportunities to score.
The contrast in the teams' latest results shapes this Ligue 1 preview. Toulouse need to respond after failing to score against Troyes and Olympique Marseille, whereas Strasbourg will try to carry the confidence of their five-goal display against Auxerre into an away fixture. Yet the visitors' broader five-match record shows why one result cannot, by itself, settle questions about their form. Toulouse's own record of frequent draws adds another reason to expect a closely contested meeting.
The available head-to-head summary is evenly balanced, with two Toulouse wins, one draw and two Strasbourg wins across five meetings. The most recent ended 2-1 on May 3, 2026. Neither that result nor the teams' positions points to a clear advantage here. Strasbourg's long run of matches conceding a goal offers Toulouse an opening, while Strasbourg's season scoring average and the attacking display against Auxerre give the visitors reason to believe they can create chances too.
For Toulouse, the question is whether their attacking contributors can help break a two-match scoring drought. For Strasbourg, it is whether they can preserve the threat shown against Auxerre while limiting the defensive openings that have persisted throughout their recent league games. Those competing trends make goals at both ends a coherent possibility, without removing the uncertainty created by Toulouse's latest two results.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2