Toulouse host Troyes at the Stadium de Toulouse on October 25, 2026, in a Ligue 1 match that brings together two sides moving in different directions. Toulouse are 11th after going unbeaten in their last four league games, while 17th-placed Troyes have lost five consecutive league fixtures. A 3-0 victory over Le Mans gave the home side another reason for confidence, but Troyes arrive needing to halt a difficult run. With Toulouse’s recent improvement and Troyes’ defensive record both central to the match preview, the visitors face a demanding test.

Toulouse’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Toulouse began their league campaign with just one point from three matches, then recovered with draws against Lorient and Monaco, both 2-2, followed by victories over Le Havre, 3-2, and Le Mans, 3-0. That four-game unbeaten sequence has taken them to 11th place. Across their first seven Ligue 1 fixtures, they have recorded two wins, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Their recent matches have offered plenty of attacking activity. Toulouse have scored an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches, although they have also conceded 1.8 per game in that span. The win against Le Mans on October 16 was a welcome clean sheet for Guillaume Restes, while Aron Dønnum contributed a goal and an assist. Casper Tengstedt has scored five times across the last four league rounds, and Cristian Cásseres Jr. has supplied five Ligue 1 assists this season.

There is some uncertainty over the availability of Ilyas Azizi and Sion Oppong, but Toulouse have several named contributors to draw upon. Their matches have also consistently featured late scoring: there has been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 16 matches, including their last 15 in Ligue 1. That pattern suggests the home side’s contest with Troyes could remain active beyond the interval.

Troyes’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Troyes took four points from their first two league fixtures, drawing 0-0 with Paris FC and beating Lorient 2-1. Their results have since turned sharply. Five successive Ligue 1 defeats have left them 17th, three points behind the first team outside the relegation places. The sequence includes losses to Strasbourg, Lille, Angers, Marseille and Lens, with the latest a 3-1 defeat to Lens on October 17.

The visitors have scored only one goal in their last four league games. Their season averages stand at 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match, underlining the challenge of keeping pace with a Toulouse side that has scored at least twice in each of its last four league outings. Across Troyes’ last five matches in the supplied statistics, they have no wins, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.

Yvann Titi, Ismaël Boura, Anis Ouzenadji and Yacouba Koné are unavailable, while Paolo Gozzi is uncertain. At the other end of the pitch, Timothé Nkada has recently opened his scoring account for Troyes. Second-half goals have been common in the team’s matches: at least one was scored in 19 of their last 21 games and in 20 of their last 22 away games. Those figures refer to total goals by either team, rather than Troyes’ goals alone.

Toulouse vs Troyes Match Analysis

The contrast in league form is the clearest feature of this Toulouse vs Troyes preview. Toulouse have collected two wins and two draws from their last four Ligue 1 games, scoring ten goals along the way. Troyes, by comparison, have lost five straight in the competition and conceded 13 goals in those defeats. The home side’s recent scoring record gives them an opportunity to test a defence that has struggled throughout that run.

Previous meetings also favour Toulouse. The supplied head-to-head summary gives them three wins and two draws in five games against Troyes, with averages of 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 4-1 on February 1, 2023. Those results do not settle this fixture, but they add to the case made by Toulouse’s current unbeaten league sequence.

Troyes have shown they can earn a result this season, as their opening draw and win demonstrate. To do so here, however, they must improve on their recent scoring output while containing a Toulouse attack with several in-form contributors. Toulouse’s own average of 1.6 goals conceded per league match leaves room for the visitors to respond, but the stronger recent results, scoring trend and head-to-head record all point toward the hosts.

Toulouse vs Troyes prediction from BetMines: Toulouse win (1) with 39% probability.