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Prediction published on Nov 6, 2025 3:04 PM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Nov 6, 2025 4:39 PM
Matchday 12 of the Turkish Super Lig brings an intriguing clash between Trabzonspor and Alanyaspor at Papara Park. The hosts are currently sitting third in the standings, while the visitors occupy ninth place with 14 points. Both sides aim to strengthen their positions before the international break, but the momentum and home advantage clearly favor the Black Sea Storm. This fixture has often produced goals and drama, and with both teams showing contrasting forms, it promises to be another compelling encounter on Saturday, November 8, 2025.
Trabzonspor have been one of the most consistent sides in the Turkish Super Lig this season. Under the guidance of Fatih Tekke, the team has rediscovered its competitive edge and looks determined to secure a top-three finish. After finishing seventh last season, the Black Sea Storm have improved significantly, combining defensive solidity with attacking efficiency.
In their last five league matches, Trabzonspor have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. Their most recent outing was a hard-fought 0-0 draw away to Galatasaray, a result that extended their unbeaten run to six league games. Despite failing to score in that match, Trabzonspor’s defense once again proved reliable, keeping their fifth clean sheet of the campaign.
At home, Papara Park has become a fortress. Trabzonspor have maintained a six-match unbeaten streak on their own turf this season, boasting one of the best home records in the league alongside Galatasaray. They have also shown a strong tendency to start games well, having led at half-time in six of their last ten home matches. With a season record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, the hosts have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match — numbers that underline their balance between attack and defense.
Historically, Trabzonspor have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five head-to-head meetings against Alanyaspor. Their last encounter ended in a thrilling 4-3 victory in April 2025, a reminder of the attacking potential both sides can unleash when given space.
Alanyaspor enter this match looking to regain consistency after a mixed run of results. The team, nicknamed the Thunder, have shown flashes of quality but have struggled to maintain momentum in the league. Their current record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game — a clear indication of their balanced yet cautious approach.
In their most recent league match, Alanyaspor were held to a 0-0 home draw against Gaziantep, extending their winless streak in the Super Lig to two games. Before that, they secured a 2-1 away victory over Bursa Yildirimspor in the Turkish Cup, showing that they can still find the net when needed. However, their league form remains inconsistent, and they have struggled to convert draws into wins.
One of the main concerns for Alanyaspor has been their away form. They have lost their last three away league games against Trabzonspor, and their overall away record this season has been far from convincing. Despite this, they have shown a pattern of second-half improvement, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 10 away league matches. This suggests that they often grow into games but may struggle to impose themselves early on.
Defensively, Alanyaspor have been relatively solid, with under 1.5 goals scored at half-time in each of their last 12 league matches. This trend points to a cautious start, focusing on structure and discipline before opening up later in the game. To get a result at Papara Park, they will need to combine that defensive resilience with sharper finishing in the final third.
This fixture pits one of the league’s most in-form teams against a side still searching for rhythm. Trabzonspor have been dominant at home, blending attacking flair with defensive organization. Their midfield control and ability to press high have been key to their success, while the backline has limited opponents to very few clear chances. Given their recent performances, it’s difficult to see them dropping points here.
Alanyaspor, on the other hand, will likely adopt a compact shape and look to frustrate their hosts. Their recent matches have been tight, with few goals, and they may rely on counter-attacks or set pieces to create opportunities. However, their lack of cutting edge away from home could prove costly against a Trabzonspor side that rarely allows visitors to settle.
Historically, this matchup has produced goals, but current trends suggest a more controlled affair. Trabzonspor’s defensive numbers and Alanyaspor’s low-scoring pattern point toward a game where the home side dictates tempo and limits risks. If Trabzonspor can maintain their composure and efficiency in front of goal, they should have enough to secure another three points and continue their push toward the top of the table.
Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Trabzonspor win (1) with a 59% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while an Alanyaspor win (2) stands at 17%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2