Treviso welcome Calcio Desenzano on September 21, 2026, for an intriguing fixture in Serie C: Girone A. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:30 at Stadio Omobono Tenni. Both clubs are adapting to life after promotion, although their situations are not identical. Treviso enter the match in seventh place and have produced a steady opening sequence, while Calcio Desenzano sit 15th during their first experience in professional football. The hosts have history and ambition on their side, but the visitors have shown that they can compete in this new category. With Treviso favored by the win probabilities but only by a narrow margin, this contest is far from a foregone conclusion.

Treviso Recent Form and Key Statistics

Treviso approach this home match after drawing 2-2 with Union Brescia on September 17. That result continued a generally positive start in which the newly promoted side have proved competitive without completely taking control of every game. Their last five matches have delivered two victories, two draws and one defeat, leaving them with a balanced record and a solid platform from which to build.

Across that five-game sequence, Treviso have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their Serie C: Girone A season numbers follow the same pattern, with two wins, two draws and one loss, alongside identical averages of 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against. Those figures underline their consistency while also showing that the hosts have not been overwhelmingly dominant.

Playing at Stadio Omobono Tenni is presented as an important advantage for Treviso, whose most convincing performances have come in front of their own supporters. Their current seventh-place ranking also gives them a stronger starting position than Calcio Desenzano. Even so, the 2-2 draw in their most recent outing is a reminder that they can concede opportunities and may need to manage the match carefully rather than expect a straightforward victory.

• Serie C: Girone A ranking: seventh.
• Last five matches: two wins, two draws and one defeat.
• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match.
• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match.
• Most recent result: 2-2 against Union Brescia.

Calcio Desenzano Recent Form and Key Statistics

Calcio Desenzano travel to this fixture following a 3-1 defeat against Lecco on September 17. The setback left the visitors in 15th place, but their first steps in professional football have still included encouraging results. Their last five matches contain two wins, one draw and two defeats, illustrating a side capable of collecting points despite the challenges attached to moving into a new division.

The visitors have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their latest five games. Their league record stands at one win, two draws and two losses, with a season average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The scoring figure is particularly relevant before an away game against a Treviso side that has lost only once in its opening five league matches.

Calcio Desenzano are therefore likely to need a considerably improved result after conceding three times to Lecco. However, the broader numbers do not portray a team that is routinely involved in open, high-scoring contests. Their average attacking return remains below one goal per game, while their two victories and one draw from the last five matches demonstrate that they should not be dismissed solely because of their lower ranking.

• Serie C: Girone A ranking: 15th.
• Last five matches: two wins, one draw and two defeats.
• Average goals scored: 0.8 per match.
• Average goals conceded over the last five: 1.0 per match.
• Most recent result: 1-3 against Lecco.

Treviso vs Calcio Desenzano Match Analysis

The statistical picture gives Treviso a modest advantage rather than making them overwhelming favorites. The supplied win probabilities assign the hosts a 40% chance of victory, compared with 30% for the draw and 30% for a Calcio Desenzano win. Treviso's stronger league position, more productive scoring average and home setting all support that edge, while their record of only one defeat in five also adds weight to their case.

Nevertheless, there are reasons to anticipate a close match. Both teams have already recorded two victories in their last five outings, and Calcio Desenzano have negotiated their introduction to professional football with some positive results. Treviso's average of 1.4 goals per game is respectable rather than prolific, while the visitors are scoring only 0.8 per match. That combination points toward a contest in which clear opportunities may carry considerable importance.

The goals markets reinforce the expectation of a controlled game. The probability of Under 2.5 goals is 62%, compared with 38% for Over 2.5. Meanwhile, Both Teams To Score is rated at 45% for Yes and 55% for No. Although Treviso's latest 2-2 draw and Calcio Desenzano's 3-1 loss both produced four goals, the wider averages support a more restrained outlook for this meeting.

Treviso should draw confidence from their home performances and seventh-place standing, but Calcio Desenzano's recent record suggests they can offer meaningful resistance. The hosts possess the clearer statistical advantage, yet the narrow 1X2 probabilities leave room for a competitive encounter. With neither side averaging more than 1.4 goals scored, the strongest overall trend is toward a match decided by limited margins and fewer than three total goals.

Treviso vs Calcio Desenzano prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.