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Trival Valderas
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Leganés
Prediction published on Oct 28, 2026 6:37 AM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Oct 28, 2026 6:37 AM
Trival Valderas host Leganés in the first round of the Copa Del Rey on October 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 at Estadio La Canaleja in Alcorcón. This meeting between two clubs from the Madrid region brings together a Trival side that has made a solid start in Tercera Federación and a Leganés team trying to recover from a difficult run. The visitors come from a higher division, but their recent results leave the contest open: Leganés have not won any of their last five matches, while Trival have lost only one of theirs.
Trival Valderas sit eighth in their Tercera Federación group, four points behind the leader. Their league record stands at three wins, four draws and one defeat, with 12 goals scored and nine conceded. That sole loss came by a 1-0 scoreline against Rayo Vallecano B. It is a record that gives Trival reason to approach this Copa Del Rey fixture with confidence, even though their early momentum has eased.
Across their last five matches, Trival have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw against Leganés II on October 25. That result offers a timely connection to this cup tie, although facing Leganés' first team is a different challenge. Raúl Montero's side have shown they can find goals, but their recent defensive average also suggests they may need to be more secure against higher-division opposition.
The first round gives Trival an opportunity to test themselves against a club from above them in the league system. Their broader campaign has been steady, while the last five results point to a team capable of competing without consistently turning close matches into victories. Whether they can convert that competitiveness into a cup result is a central question heading into Wednesday's meeting.
Leganés arrive after a change of manager. Rubén Albés departed following four consecutive defeats, and Luis Miguel Carrión has taken charge. Carrión previously guided Oviedo to a playoff final in 2024. His first match with Leganés produced a 1-1 draw against Mallorca on October 24, ending the losing sequence but leaving the team still searching for a win.
The visitors' last-five record is no wins, one draw and four defeats. In that span, they have averaged just 0.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Those figures explain why their higher-division status alone cannot settle this preview. Leganés need a better attacking return, while the number of goals they have allowed recently gives Trival encouragement ahead of the tie.
There is also a pattern of slow starts in Leganés' results. They have failed to win at half-time in 26 of their last 28 matches, and 18 of their last 20 games have featured fewer than 1.5 total first-half goals. Those statistics do not determine how this match will unfold, but they underline how rarely Leganés have established an early lead. Across their last 13 away matches, three have ended with no goals for either team.
The contrast between league level and recent form makes this an intriguing Copa Del Rey first-round fixture. Leganés have the advantage of competing at a higher level, yet their four defeats in five matches and low scoring average raise questions about how much control they can impose. Trival Valderas, meanwhile, have lost only once in their last five and scored twice in their latest game, though they have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals across that run.
The venue is worth noting: while the source account discussed a potential Leganés advantage at Butarque, the fixture information places this match at Estadio La Canaleja. The visitors therefore cannot be assessed on the basis of playing at their own ground. With Trival at home and Leganés still adjusting after a managerial change, the difference in divisions has to be weighed against the teams' contrasting recent results.
Leganés' attacking record is particularly relevant to the goals picture. Their average of 0.2 goals scored over five matches suggests that, even if they improve on their recent results, finding the net cannot be taken for granted. Trival's scoring average gives the hosts a route into the game, but it does not by itself guarantee goals at both ends. The match may hinge on whether Leganés can produce more in attack than they have managed during their current five-game stretch.
Trival Valderas vs Leganés prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Trival Valderas
Leganés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2