Tools
Troyes
2 - 3
FT
Saint-Étienne
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2025 7:06 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Nov 6, 2025 7:06 PM
The 14th round of Ligue 2 brings one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season as ES Troyes AC host AS Saint-Étienne at the Stade de l’Aube on Saturday evening. The home side have been the standout performers in the French second division so far, sitting at the top of the table with just one defeat in thirteen matches. Under the guidance of Stéphane Dumont, Troyes have displayed remarkable consistency and remain flawless at home, winning every match in front of their supporters. Confidence is sky-high in the Champagne region as they prepare to face one of their main promotion rivals.
Troyes have been the revelation of the Ligue 2 campaign, combining defensive solidity with attacking efficiency. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat speaks volumes about their balance and resilience. The team averages 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, while their recent form shows 2 wins and 3 draws in the last five outings. Even though they were held to a 1-1 draw against Pau on November 3, they remain unbeaten in nine consecutive league matches.
At the Stade de l’Aube, Troyes have been unstoppable, winning all nine of their most recent home fixtures in Ligue 2. They have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 home matches, and in six of their last ten, they were already leading at the break. Such dominance at home has been a key factor in their rise to the top of the standings. However, they will have to cope without their top scorer Tawfik Bentayeb, who is suspended after being sent off in the previous match. This absence is a significant blow, as Bentayeb has been the most prolific striker in the division so far.
In addition to Bentayeb’s suspension, goalkeeper Nicolas Lemaître remains sidelined with a knee injury, while Jaurès Assoumou is doubtful. Nevertheless, Dumont can rely on a deep squad, with Martin Adeline and Mounaïm El Idrissy both capable of stepping up in attack, having already scored three goals each this season. The team’s structure and collective discipline have allowed them to maintain their high standards even when key players are missing.
For AS Saint-Étienne, the situation is more complicated. The historic club, aiming for a direct return to Ligue 1, has hit a rough patch. After a strong start to the season, the Verts have lost three of their last four league matches, including a 2-1 defeat away to Red Star on November 1. Despite a spectacular 6-0 victory over Pau FC at the end of October, inconsistency has crept into their performances. They now sit third in the table, five points behind their upcoming opponents.
Defensively, Saint-Étienne have struggled, conceding 19 goals in 13 matches. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. The team’s attacking potential remains impressive, but their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. The absence of Igor Miladinovic through suspension and Chico Lamba due to injury further weakens their back line. Goalkeeper Gautier Larsonneur and defender Maxime Bernauer will need to deliver top performances to contain Troyes’ dynamic attack.
There is some positive news for coach Eirik Horneland, as Augustine Boakye has returned to training and could feature in this crucial encounter. In midfield, Florian Tardieu remains a key figure, dictating the tempo and linking play effectively. Further forward, Zuriko Davitashvili has been in fine form, scoring in each of the last two matches, while Lucas Stassin will be eager to end his goal drought that dates back to late September. Despite their recent setbacks, Saint-Étienne’s attacking firepower ensures they remain a dangerous opponent capable of challenging any team in the division.
This clash at the Stade de l’Aube promises to be one of the highlights of the Ligue 2 season. Both sides are among the top-scoring teams in the league, and their attacking styles suggest an open and entertaining contest. Troyes’ perfect home record will be tested by a Saint-Étienne side desperate to bounce back and close the gap at the top. The hosts’ defensive organization and home momentum make them slight favorites, but the visitors’ offensive potential could ensure a competitive match.
Historically, Saint-Étienne have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 5-0 victory in February 2024. However, the current form suggests a more balanced encounter this time. Troyes’ confidence at home, combined with their ability to control matches, contrasts with Saint-Étienne’s recent defensive fragility. Still, with both teams boasting strong attacking units, goals are expected on both sides.
Fans can expect a lively atmosphere and a match full of intensity, with Troyes looking to extend their lead at the top and Saint-Étienne aiming to reignite their promotion push. Given the offensive tendencies of both teams and their recent scoring records, this fixture could easily produce multiple goals and moments of drama.
Troyes vs Saint-Étienne prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Troyes
Saint-Étienne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1