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TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga 17-01-2026

TSG Hoffenheim

1 - 0

FT

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

PreZero Arena
Daniel Schlager
broken clouds 1.62 °C

Prediction published on Jan 15, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Jan 15, 2026 3:03 PM

The Bundesliga resumes with a thrilling clash between TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, two sides separated by just a single point in the standings. Hoffenheim sit fifth, while Leverkusen follow closely in sixth, making this encounter a direct battle for European qualification spots. Both teams have displayed attacking flair throughout the campaign, and with their recent head-to-heads producing plenty of goals, fans can expect another open and entertaining contest. The odds suggest a balanced matchup, with neither side holding a clear advantage ahead of Saturday’s showdown.


TSG Hoffenheim’s Recent Form and Key Stats


TSG Hoffenheim enter this fixture in excellent shape, having demolished Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1 on January 14. That result extended their strong run of form, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, Hoffenheim’s Bundesliga record stands at nine wins, three draws, and four losses, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.


Their home performances have been particularly impressive. The team has won five consecutive home games, often taking control early — they have led at half time in each of their last five home league fixtures. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored before the break in 23 of their last 25 matches, underlining their attacking intent from the first whistle. Hoffenheim’s consistency in front of goal has been a major factor behind their rise up the table, and their ability to maintain pressure early in games could again prove decisive.



  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in the last 11 home Bundesliga matches.

  • Won at half time in 6 of their last 10 league games.

  • Average of 2.1 goals scored per match this season.

  • Five straight home wins in the Bundesliga.


With several attacking players contributing regularly, Hoffenheim have developed a well-balanced offensive unit. Their recent scoring streak and solid defensive numbers make them a formidable opponent, especially at home, where confidence is running high.


Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bayer 04 Leverkusen approach this encounter looking to bounce back from a 1-4 defeat against VfB Stuttgart on January 10. Despite that setback, their overall form remains competitive, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during that period, showing both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Over the season, Leverkusen’s Bundesliga record mirrors Hoffenheim’s in many ways: nine wins, two draws, and five defeats, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.


Leverkusen’s matches have been consistently high-scoring. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 21 Bundesliga fixtures, and the same trend applies to their last 10 away games. They have also scored in 28 of their last 30 matches, proving that their attack rarely fails to deliver. However, their defensive record away from home remains a concern, with a goal difference of just +1 on the road.



  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 21 Bundesliga matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in 19 of the last 21 league games.

  • Scored in 28 of their last 30 matches in all competitions.

  • Won at half time in 6 of their last 10 matches.


Leverkusen’s attacking depth ensures they remain a constant threat, but their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. To stay in touch with the top four, they will need to tighten up at the back while maintaining their forward momentum. Given their recent inconsistency away from home, this trip to Hoffenheim represents both a challenge and an opportunity to reassert themselves as a top contender.


Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen Tactical Overview and Prediction


When Hoffenheim and Leverkusen meet, goals are almost guaranteed. Their last encounter ended 2-1 in Hoffenheim’s favor, and the historical average of 3.4 goals per match between these sides highlights their attacking nature. Both teams boast similar offensive numbers this season, ranking among the Bundesliga’s most prolific scorers. However, their defenses have shown occasional weaknesses, which could once again lead to an open contest.


Hoffenheim’s home form and early scoring patterns suggest they will look to impose their rhythm quickly, while Leverkusen’s ability to find the net in nearly every match ensures they will remain dangerous throughout. The combination of offensive efficiency and defensive fragility on both sides points toward another high-scoring affair.


Considering the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this Bundesliga clash leans towards Over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 64%. Both teams have shown a consistent tendency to produce matches full of attacking action, and this fixture should be no exception.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions

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TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

TSG Hoffenheim

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen in Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

TSG Hoffenheim

34

18

7

9

65:52

61

1.79

W
W
D
W
L
6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

34

17

8

9

68:47

59

1.74

L
W
W
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Frequently asked questions

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When will TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The Bundesliga match between TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played on January 17, 2026 at 14:30.
Where will TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The match between TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played at PreZero Arena, Sinsheim - Germany
Who will referee TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The referee for the match will be Daniel Schlager.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga?
The odds are: TSG Hoffenheim to win 2.30, draw 3.80, Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 2.87.
What are the betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.50 and Under 2.5 at 2.62.
Will both TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen score in the Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.44, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.62.
What is the most likely correct score for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, TSG Hoffenheim won 1 times, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 4, and 0 ended in a draw.

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