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Prediction published on Nov 27, 2025 3:07 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Nov 27, 2025 3:07 PM
The Bundesliga continues with an intriguing clash as TSG Hoffenheim host FC Augsburg on Saturday for Matchday 12. Both sides have shown contrasting trends in recent weeks: Hoffenheim are enjoying an impressive unbeaten run, while Augsburg are trying to build momentum after ending a losing streak. The Sinsheimers have rediscovered their rhythm after a shaky start, and their current form makes them one of the most consistent teams in the league. Augsburg, on the other hand, are still searching for stability, especially in defense, where they have struggled throughout the campaign.
Hoffenheim come into this fixture in excellent shape, having gone five matches unbeaten in the Bundesliga. Their latest outing was a 1-1 draw against FSV Mainz 05 on November 21, a result that extended their positive streak to four wins and one draw. Over those five games, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, showing a strong balance between attack and defense. In the overall season record, Hoffenheim have collected 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding 1.6.
Offensively, Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men have been one of the most entertaining sides to watch. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 matches, and they have seen goals in both halves in most of their recent fixtures. The team’s attacking approach often pays off early, with over 0.5 goals at half time in 19 of their last 20 games. However, despite their strong overall form, Hoffenheim have occasionally struggled in the first half when playing at home, having trailed at half time in 11 of their last 16 home matches. Still, their resilience and second-half performances have often turned games in their favor.
Currently sitting 7th in the Bundesliga table, Hoffenheim are pushing to close the gap on the European qualification spots. Their recent consistency and attacking efficiency make them favorites heading into this encounter, especially given their solid record against Augsburg in recent seasons.
FC Augsburg arrive in Sinsheim after finally ending a difficult run of three consecutive defeats. Their 1-0 victory over Hamburger SV on November 22 provided a much-needed boost for coach Sandro Wagner and his squad. Despite that win, Augsburg’s overall form remains inconsistent, with 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches. During that period, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored while conceding 2.2 per game, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities.
In the current Bundesliga campaign, Augsburg’s record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 defeats, leaving them in 13th place. Their defensive issues have been a major concern, as they have already conceded 24 goals—the second-worst tally in the league. On the road, the team has also struggled, managing just one away win all season. Nevertheless, Augsburg’s matches tend to be open and entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 away fixtures.
Historically, Augsburg have found it difficult to overcome Hoffenheim. They have not beaten the Sinsheimers in their last four meetings, with the most recent encounter ending in a 1-1 draw on March 29, 2025. Their head-to-head record over the last five games shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of just 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per match. To get a result this time, Augsburg will need to tighten up defensively and find more creativity in attack, where they have often lacked cutting edge.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different dynamics. Hoffenheim are in strong form, confident, and efficient in front of goal, while Augsburg are still trying to find consistency after a tough start to the season. The hosts’ attacking rhythm and home advantage make them clear favorites, especially considering Augsburg’s defensive fragility and poor away record.
Hoffenheim’s attacking trio has been particularly effective in recent weeks, often finding ways to break down compact defenses. Their ability to score in both halves could once again be decisive. Augsburg, meanwhile, will likely rely on a compact shape and quick transitions, hoping to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. However, given Hoffenheim’s current momentum and Augsburg’s struggles on the road, the balance of play is expected to tilt heavily in favor of the hosts.
In tactical terms, Hoffenheim’s high pressing and fluid attacking movements should create numerous chances, while Augsburg’s best hope lies in maintaining discipline and capitalizing on set pieces or counterattacks. The match is likely to feature goals, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring encounters recently, but Hoffenheim’s superior form and confidence could prove decisive.
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Hoffenheim win (1) with a 46% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while an Augsburg win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
TSG Hoffenheim
FC Augsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
6
4
9
1