Favourites
Settings

TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga 09-05-2026

TSG Hoffenheim

1 - 0

FT

Werder Bremen

PreZero Arena
Sören Storks
light rain 22.56 °C

Prediction published on May 7, 2026 3:04 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on May 7, 2026 3:04 PM

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen promises to be one of the most entertaining fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday, May 9, this encounter brings together two sides with very different ambitions — Hoffenheim chasing European qualification and Bremen fighting to secure their top-flight status. With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring matches, fans can expect a lively contest at the PreZero Arena.


Hoffenheim’s Recent Form and Key Stats


TSG Hoffenheim approach this fixture in solid form, having drawn 3-3 against VfB Stuttgart in their most recent outing. Over their last five Bundesliga matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their season record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses underlines their consistency in attack, with an average of 2.0 goals per match and 1.5 conceded.


At home, Hoffenheim have been particularly strong in the opening stages of matches. They have won at half time in their last three Bundesliga games and in 9 of their last 13 home fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 36 of their last 40 matches, showing their ability to start aggressively. Their attacking approach often leads to open games, with goals on both sides in 11 of their 16 home matches this season.


Statistically, Hoffenheim’s home encounters average around 3.4 total goals per match, reflecting their offensive mindset and occasional defensive lapses. The team’s recent performances suggest they are capable of both scoring freely and conceding, which makes them one of the most entertaining sides in the league.


Werder Bremen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Werder Bremen enter this match after a 1-3 defeat against FC Augsburg on May 2. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five games. During this period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, Bremen’s record stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.


Despite their struggles, Bremen have shown attacking intent in recent weeks. There have been goals in both halves of their last 11 Bundesliga matches, and they have consistently found the net away from home since early February. However, defensive issues remain a major concern, as they have already conceded 28 goals on the road this season. Their away victories have come mainly against lower-ranked teams, suggesting that they may find it difficult to contain Hoffenheim’s dynamic attack.


In terms of head-to-head history, Hoffenheim have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four of the last five encounters and losing only once. The most recent clash ended 0-2 in favor of Bremen earlier this year, which could serve as extra motivation for Hoffenheim to respond in front of their home fans.


Match Analysis and Tactical Overview


This matchup pits one of the league’s most attack-minded teams against a side desperate for points to avoid relegation. Hoffenheim’s offensive rhythm, especially at home, has been impressive, while Bremen’s defensive fragility has often been exposed. The hosts tend to dominate possession and create numerous chances, but their open style also leaves space for counterattacks — something Bremen could exploit.


Given the statistical trends, both sides are likely to find the back of the net. Hoffenheim have seen BTTS (Both Teams To Score) in seven of their last eight league games, while Bremen’s last five matches have also featured goals for both teams. The combination of Hoffenheim’s attacking firepower and Bremen’s need to push forward for survival points to a high-scoring affair.


With Hoffenheim sitting sixth in the Bundesliga and Bremen down in fifteenth, the stakes are high for both. The home side will aim to strengthen their European hopes, while the visitors will fight to avoid slipping closer to the relegation zone. The contrast in objectives should make for an open and entertaining contest.


Key Statistics Summary



  • Hoffenheim: 17 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses this season; average 2.0 goals scored, 1.5 conceded.

  • Bremen: 8 wins, 8 draws, 16 losses; average 1.2 goals scored, 1.8 conceded.

  • BTTS: Yes in 62% of matches.

  • Over 2.5 goals: 61% probability.

  • Win probabilities: Hoffenheim 49%, Draw 23%, Bremen 28%.

  • Head-to-head: Hoffenheim 4 wins, Bremen 1 win in last 5 meetings.


Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction


All indicators point toward another goal-filled encounter. Hoffenheim’s attacking consistency and Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest that both teams will have opportunities to score. The data supports this view, with a 62% probability for Both Teams To Score (Yes). Given the patterns from recent matches and the motivation on both sides, this outcome appears the most likely scenario for Saturday’s clash.


Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 62% probability.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

TSG Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

TSG Hoffenheim

34

18

7

9

65:52

61

1.79

W
W
D
W
L
15

Werder Bremen

34

8

8

18

37:60

32

0.94

W
D
L
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen be played?
The Bundesliga match between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen will be played on May 9, 2026 at 13:30.
Where will TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen be played?
The match between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen will be played at PreZero Arena, Sinsheim - Germany
Who will referee TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
The referee for the match will be Sören Storks.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga?
The odds are: TSG Hoffenheim to win 1.48, draw 5.00, Werder Bremen to win 5.75.
What are the betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.36 and Under 2.5 at 3.20.
Will both TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen score in the Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.50, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.50.
What is the most likely correct score for TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 9.
What are the head-to-head results between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, TSG Hoffenheim won 4 times, Werder Bremen won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets