Türkiye host Belgium on November 12 in a UEFA Nations League Group A1 match at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı in İzmir. Türkiye enter Matchday 5 with four defeats from four games, while Belgium have two wins and two losses. The visitors won the teams’ previous meeting 3-0 on October 2, but both sides come into this fixture after defeats. With Türkiye having conceded 11 goals in the competition and Belgium’s recent away matches regularly featuring goals, this Türkiye vs Belgium preview focuses on whether the hosts can respond while containing the visitors.

Türkiye’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Türkiye are fourth in Group A1 and have yet to collect a point in this Nations League campaign. Their four losses have brought an average of 0.5 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match. The most recent was a 3-1 defeat against Italy on October 5. Having also conceded three times against Belgium in their previous meeting, the hosts need a substantial improvement at the back to reverse that result.

Their wider form offers little immediate encouragement: across their last five matches, Türkiye have one win and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.6 conceded. They have been behind at half-time in each of their last three Nations League games. Türkiye have also avoided a draw in 19 of their last 20 matches, a run that underlines how often their fixtures have produced a decisive result rather than a stalemate.

There are, however, contrasting home results in the supplied record. Before losing their two Nations League home matches, Türkiye won four consecutive home games in World Cup qualifying and kept clean sheets in three of those victories. Recovering that resilience would make this a different challenge for Belgium. Abdulkerim Bardakci will miss the match after receiving yellow cards in each of his last two games. Goals after the interval have been another recurring feature of Türkiye’s fixtures: at least one second-half goal was scored in 19 of their last 20 matches, counting goals by either team.

Belgium’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Belgium are third in Group A1 after splitting their opening four Nations League matches evenly between wins and defeats. Their competition averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. They beat Türkiye 3-0 on October 2, then lost 4-1 to France on October 5. That sequence shows both the attacking potential they displayed in the head-to-head meeting and the need to recover from a heavy defeat of their own.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Belgium have won twice and lost three times, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their broader away record is stronger: they have lost only one of their last eight away matches. Their recent visits to Türkiye have been less productive, though, with one draw and one defeat in their last two games there. The 3-0 home win therefore gives Belgium a recent result to build on without settling how this away fixture will unfold.

Belgium’s away fixtures have consistently seen activity in both halves. At least two total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away matches, with a first-half goal in every one of those games. Their last 15 away matches have also all included a second-half goal. Belgium have led at the break in nine of their last 11 away fixtures and in each of their last three away Nations League matches. These are match and half-time trends, rather than a guarantee that Belgium will score in either period on Thursday.

Türkiye vs Belgium Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head result favours Belgium, but the broader supplied record is more mixed. Across five meetings with Belgium, Türkiye have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. Belgium’s three-goal margin in October is the clearest recent comparison; Türkiye’s previous home run and Belgium’s two-game winless sequence on visits to Türkiye provide reasons not to treat a repeat result as certain.

Goals are the strongest recurring theme in the available match data. Türkiye have conceded 11 times in four Nations League outings, while Belgium’s last 11 away matches have each produced more than one total goal. Both teams also arrive after games in which they conceded heavily: Türkiye lost 3-1 to Italy and Belgium lost 4-1 to France. Those results support the possibility of an open contest, although neither team’s latest defeat alone determines what will happen here.

The timing of goals is worth watching as well as the final score. Belgium’s extended away runs include goals before and after half-time, while a second-half goal has featured in 19 of Türkiye’s last 20 matches. For the hosts, staying competitive early would be a change from their last three Nations League games, all of which they trailed at the interval. For Belgium, the task is to carry forward the effectiveness shown in their 3-0 win over Türkiye while responding to the defeat against France. Taken together, the defensive records and away-goals trends make a match with several goals a coherent prospect.

Türkiye vs Belgium prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 62% probability.