The sixth round of the Peruvian Apertura brings an intriguing clash between UCV Moquegua and Sport Huancayo at the Estadio 25 de Noviembre. The home side, known as “La Fuerza del Sur,” will look to extend their positive streak after earning a valuable draw away to Sport Boys. Despite a challenging start to the season, Moquegua have shown resilience, particularly at home, where they have lost only once in their last ten matches. Their main concern remains defensive stability, having conceded eight goals in their first five league games. On the other hand, Sport Huancayo arrive with renewed confidence after a 2-1 victory over Sporting Cristal, but their poor away record continues to be a major obstacle in their campaign.

UCV Moquegua’s Recent Form and Key Stats

UCV Moquegua currently sit 17th in the Primera División standings, with a record of one win, one draw, and three defeats. Their most recent result was a goalless draw against Sport Boys on March 1, 2026. The team has averaged just 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 1.6, highlighting their struggles in front of goal and defensive vulnerabilities. However, their home form remains a source of optimism, as they have lost only one of their last ten home fixtures in all competitions.

In their last five matches, Moquegua have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. The team’s main challenge has been converting chances into goals, but their ability to grind out results at home could prove decisive in this fixture. The defensive line will need to tighten up, especially against a side like Sport Huancayo that tends to find the net regularly. If Moquegua can maintain their home consistency and improve their finishing, they could climb out of the lower ranks of the table.

• Ranking: 17th in Primera División


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Goals per match: 0.6 scored, 1.6 conceded


• Last result: 0-0 vs Sport Boys

Sport Huancayo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sport Huancayo enter this match in 7th place, having collected two wins, one draw, and two defeats so far this season. Their latest triumph came in a 2-1 home victory over Sporting Cristal on February 28, 2026. The “Rojo Matador” have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a more balanced performance compared to their opponents. However, their away form remains a major concern: they have managed to win only one of their last ten away matches in the Primera División.

Another notable trend is their slow starts on the road — Sport Huancayo have failed to lead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 away league games. Despite this, their matches often come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 league fixtures. This pattern suggests that Huancayo tend to grow into games, but their inability to control the first half could once again put them under pressure in Moquegua.

• Ranking: 7th in Primera División


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Goals per match: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded


• Away record: 1 win in last 10 away matches


• Half-time record: No lead in 19 of last 20 away games

UCV Moquegua vs Sport Huancayo Analysis and Prediction

This encounter promises to be a tight and competitive affair between two sides with contrasting strengths. UCV Moquegua will rely heavily on their home advantage and defensive organization to contain a Huancayo side that has shown attacking intent but lacks consistency away from home. The hosts’ main goal will be to capitalize on Huancayo’s slow starts and maintain their solid home record.

Meanwhile, Sport Huancayo will aim to build on their recent win over Sporting Cristal, but their away struggles cannot be ignored. Their tendency to concede late goals and their lack of first-half dominance could once again hinder their chances of taking all three points. Given the current form and statistical trends, a low-scoring match seems likely, with Moquegua having a slight edge due to their home resilience.

According to the latest probabilities, UCV Moquegua have a 44% chance of winning, while both the draw and a Sport Huancayo victory stand at 28% each. The Under 2.5 goals market appears slightly favored at 56%, suggesting a cautious and tactical battle rather than an open, high-scoring contest. Additionally, the Both Teams To Score – No outcome holds a narrow advantage at 51%, reinforcing the expectation of a tight defensive game.

BetMines prediction: UCV Moquegua win (1) with 44% probability.