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Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 6:35 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 6:35 PM
UD Pinatar host Elche on October 27, 2026, at 18:00 local time in the Copa Del Rey. The clubs are separated by five divisions, making this an opportunity for Pinatar to test themselves against higher-level opposition. Both arrive after wins: Pinatar beat Real Murcia III 2-1 on October 23, while Elche defeated Rayo Vallecano 3-0 away on October 24. Pinatar also bring an emphatic preliminary-round result into the tie, having beaten Atlético Ciudad de Melilla 11-0 on aggregate. Elche’s recent form and the gap between the teams make them the favourites, but Pinatar have earned their place in this fixture through results of their own.
UD Pinatar compete in Preferente Autonómica, the division immediately below 3ª Federación. Their Copa Del Rey preliminary-round victories over Atlético Ciudad de Melilla came by scores of 8-0 and 3-0, giving them an 11-0 aggregate win. Across those two cup matches, Pinatar averaged 5.5 goals scored and conceded none. Those figures underline how convincingly they progressed, even if this meeting presents a different challenge.
Pinatar’s form extends beyond the cup. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game in that spell. Their latest result was the 2-1 victory against Real Murcia III. Pinatar therefore enter the match with both a strong recent record and evidence that they can score regularly. The central question for this preview is how much of that scoring form they can carry into a tie against an opponent from five divisions above.
Elche travel to Pinatar after an away performance that produced three goals and a clean sheet against Rayo Vallecano. The 3-0 win on October 24 also continued a run of four matches without defeat. Over their last five games, Elche have recorded two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per match. The Rayo result is their clearest recent example of turning chances into a decisive margin.
There are further goal-related numbers to consider ahead of this Copa Del Rey fixture. At least one second-half goal was scored in 20 of Elche’s last 22 away matches; that statistic concerns total goals in those games, not necessarily goals scored by Elche. Two of their last ten matches finished without a goal from either team. Elche’s league fixtures have averaged close to three total goals per game, according to the match information, although that average alone does not determine how this cup tie will unfold.
The contrast between the sides is the defining feature of this match. Pinatar’s 11-0 preliminary-round aggregate and five-match unbeaten run show why they can approach the occasion with confidence. Elche, however, face opponents five divisions below them and have just won 3-0 away from home. Those facts point in different directions when assessing how competitive the tie might be: Pinatar’s recent results deserve attention, while the divisional gap and Elche’s latest performance make the visitors difficult to overlook.
The goal statistics add another dimension without settling the outcome. Pinatar have averaged three goals scored across their last five matches and did not concede in their two previous Copa Del Rey games. Elche have conceded an average of 0.8 goals across their last five, while their recent away fixtures have frequently featured a second-half goal. None of those records guarantees a repeat against this particular opponent. They do, however, provide a useful picture of two teams arriving with positive attacking results, especially Pinatar’s cup scores and Elche’s three-goal win at Rayo Vallecano.
For UD Pinatar vs Elche, the strongest distinction remains the five-division separation rather than either team’s scoring average in isolation. Pinatar have won their way into the tie and have not lost in five matches, so their recent form should not be dismissed. Elche’s away victory and four-game unbeaten run nevertheless give the visitors a substantial case heading into the opening-round meeting. The match offers Pinatar a chance to extend their cup campaign, while Elche will aim to make their higher-level experience count on the pitch.
UD Pinatar vs Elche prediction from BetMines: Elche win (2) with 80% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
UD Pinatar
Elche
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
9
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
9
1
6
4