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Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 10:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Como promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with very different motivations at this stage of the season. The hosts sit comfortably in mid-table, while the visitors are chasing a historic qualification for European competition. The match at the Bluenergy Stadium could therefore have a significant impact on the top-four race, with both teams eager to maintain their recent positive momentum.
Udinese approach this fixture in 11th place with 39 points, a position that leaves them safe from relegation but too far from the European spots. Their recent 2-0 victory over Genoa highlighted their ability to control matches when playing at home, even though they will be without their top scorer Davis, who is suspended. The team’s overall record in Serie A stands at 11 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Across their last five matches, Udinese have collected two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their defensive structure has improved in recent weeks, and they will look to build on that solidity against one of the most in-form sides in the league. Historically, Udinese have been strong at home against Como, remaining unbeaten in all ten previous Serie A meetings at their ground, with seven wins and three draws.
Without Davis, Udinese will rely on collective effort and midfield creativity to generate scoring chances. Their challenge will be to maintain the same attacking rhythm that brought them success in the previous round, despite the absence of their main striker.
Como arrive in Udine full of confidence, sitting 4th in the Serie A table with 57 points. Their 5-0 demolition of Pisa in the last round extended their unbeaten run to seven matches, including five consecutive victories. The team has been one of the revelations of the season, combining attacking flair with defensive discipline. In their last five matches, Como have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game.
Statistically, Como’s campaign has been outstanding: 16 wins, 9 draws, and just 5 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. They have also shown remarkable consistency away from home, winning at half time in their last four away fixtures and avoiding defeat at the break in 27 of their last 30 matches. Their ability to start strong and manage leads has been key to their success.
Como’s attacking duo of Douvikas and Paz has been particularly effective, combining for 21 goals this season. The team’s balance between offense and defense is reflected in their +19 goal difference in the second half of the campaign, the best in the league. Their confidence and tactical discipline make them a formidable opponent, even away from home.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but equally strong motivations. Udinese will aim to capitalize on home advantage and defensive stability, while Como will look to continue their impressive run and strengthen their grip on a top-four spot. The visitors’ attacking momentum and ability to control games from the first half could prove decisive, especially against an Udinese side missing their main goal threat.
Historically, Udinese have dominated this fixture at home, but recent trends favor Como, who have won the last two Serie A meetings between the sides. The visitors’ superior form, combined with their efficiency in both boxes, suggests they could extend their winning streak. However, Udinese’s resilience and home record mean the match could remain competitive, particularly in the early stages.
Considering the statistical balance, the game might feature limited goal opportunities, as both teams have shown defensive discipline. The data also indicates that at least one team failed to score in the second half in 37 of Como’s last 40 matches, hinting at a cautious approach after the break.
Udinese vs Como prediction from BetMines: Como win (2) with 54% probability. The visitors’ strong form, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity make them the favorites to secure another crucial victory in their pursuit of Champions League qualification.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3