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Prediction published on Aug 20, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Aug 20, 2026 6:02 PM
Udinese welcome Como for a Serie A fixture on August 22, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time at the Dacia Arena. The hosts enter the contest after a 1-0 Coppa Italia victory over Calcio Padova, while the visitors are looking to respond to a 2-0 defeat against Liverpool. The historical record in this league fixture favors Udinese, who have never lost across 11 home meetings with Como in Serie A, registering seven wins and four draws. However, the latest head-to-head figures provide a different perspective: Como have won two of the last four meetings, with Udinese claiming one victory and the other match ending level.
Udinese secured a positive competitive result on August 15 by beating Calcio Padova 1-0, with Davis scoring the decisive goal. That success offers encouragement before the start of their Serie A campaign, although the broader five-match sequence has been inconsistent. Udinese have collected one win, one draw and three defeats during that period, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Their recent home fixtures have followed a controlled scoring pattern. Each of Udinese's last 10 home matches has finished with under 3.5 total goals, while all 10 have also produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. Those sequences suggest that the hosts have frequently been involved in matches that develop gradually and remain within a relatively narrow scoreline.
There were also mixed results during the preparatory period. Udinese lost three of their first four friendly matches before recording 1-0 wins over Nottingham Forest and Barcelona in games played over 45 minutes. Arthur Atta and Thomas Kristensen left the club, while Unai Gomez and Mergim Vojvoda arrived, with Vojvoda joining from Como.
Availability will shape the home side's selection. Kabasele is suspended for two matches and Zanoli is unavailable through injury. The information supplied points to Okoye in goal, with Bertola, Palma and Solet in defense. Vojvoda, Piotrowski, Karlstrom and Kamara are among the midfield options, while Zaniolo and Ekkelenkamp are expected to support Davis.
Como arrive after losing 2-0 to Liverpool on August 16. Across their last five matches, the visitors have recorded one victory, three draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.2. The sequence indicates that Como have generally been difficult to beat, even though their most recent outing ended without a goal scored.
The visitors' first-half record is particularly notable. Como have avoided being behind at the interval in 35 of their last 39 matches and in 18 of their previous 20 away fixtures. They have also led at half-time in seven of their last 10 away matches, including seven of their last 11 Serie A games on the road. These figures show a consistent ability to establish a strong position during the opening period.
Como's previous league campaign ended with four victories from their final five matches. They also reached the first Coppa Italia semifinal in the club's history, losing 3-2 on aggregate to Inter. Their defensive record was another major feature, as no team registered more clean sheets during the 2025/26 Serie A season. The latest meeting with Udinese reinforced that theme, finishing 0-0 on April 6, 2026.
Douvikas is an important attacking reference after scoring 14 league goals last season. Nico Paz, signed permanently from Real Madrid, completed the campaign with 18 goal contributions. The additions of Trevoh Chalobah, Kaiki and Yan Couto have also expanded the available options. Addai is unavailable for this match, while the supplied selection information includes Butez, Couto, Ramon, Chalobah, Kaiki, Perrone, Da Cunha, Diao, Paz, Baturina and Douvikas.
This Serie A match brings together a strong historical home record and more favorable recent indicators for the visitors. Udinese's unbeaten run across 11 home league meetings with Como is significant, but the modern head-to-head sample gives Como two wins, one draw and one loss. Over those four encounters, Udinese have averaged only 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.
The latest head-to-head ended goalless, and Udinese's home scoring trends point toward another measured contest. Under 3.5 goals has landed in their last 10 home matches, while fewer than two goals have been scored before half-time throughout the same sequence. Como, however, have regularly performed well before the interval and have led at half-time in seven of their last 10 away games. That contrast could make the opening phase especially important.
The supplied probabilities give Como the largest share in the match-result market at 44%, compared with 31% for Udinese and 25% for the draw. Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals are each assessed at 54%, although Udinese's long run of low-scoring home matches introduces a clear counterweight. The broader statistical picture therefore contains competing signals: recent goal projections allow for an open game, but the venue-specific record suggests that a high total is far from guaranteed.
Udinese come into the fixture with momentum from their narrow Coppa Italia win, yet their five-match record remains uneven. Como's recent results contain more draws, but their first-half away numbers and superior share of the win probability support the visitors. With Como also having won two of the latest four direct meetings, the away side hold a modest statistical edge despite Udinese's longstanding unbeaten home record in this Serie A matchup.
Udinese: Okoye; Bertola, Palma, Solet; Vojvoda, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Kamara; Zaniolo, Ekkelenkamp; Davis.
Como: Butez; Couto, Ramon, Chalobah, Kaiki; Perrone, Da Cunha; Diao, Nico Paz, Baturina; Douvikas.
Udinese vs Como prediction from BetMines: Como win (2) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2