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Udinese vs Cremonese Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 17-05-2026

Udinese

0 - 1

FT

Cremonese

Dacia Arena
Gianluca Manganiello
light rain 13.88 °C

Prediction published on May 15, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 15, 2026 7:02 PM

The upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Cremonese at the Bluenergy Stadium marks the penultimate round of the season, with both sides entering the match under very different circumstances. The hosts aim to close their home campaign with a positive result, while the visitors are fighting desperately to avoid relegation. With only two games left, every point counts for the grigiorossi, who remain in a tight battle for survival.


Udinese’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Udinese approach this fixture in solid form, having collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five Serie A matches. Their recent 0-2 victory away at Cagliari on May 9 confirmed their good momentum, with the team averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match in that period. Over the entire season, the Friulani have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining a balanced goal ratio of 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.


At home, Udinese have been particularly reliable, often controlling possession and showing defensive discipline. Historically, they have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in Serie A against Cremonese with two wins and two draws in their last four meetings. The most recent head-to-head ended 1-1 in October 2025, but the hosts have averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded across their encounters with the grigiorossi.


Offensively, the team relies on the finishing ability of Davis, who leads the scoring charts for Udinese with ten goals this season. The squad’s recent attacking efficiency has been complemented by a compact defense that has kept multiple clean sheets in recent weeks. Another win here would mark three consecutive Serie A victories for the first time since early 2025, a streak that would underline their strong finish to the campaign.


Cremonese’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cremonese come into this decisive match after a much-needed 3-0 home win over Pisa on May 10, a result that revived their hopes of staying in the top flight. However, their overall form remains inconsistent, with just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five outings. Over the course of the season, they have managed 7 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.


One of the team’s main struggles has been their lack of attacking output away from home. Since November, Cremonese have scored only seven goals in 13 away matches, failing to find the net in nine of them. This poor record highlights their difficulties in creating chances on the road, a weakness they must overcome if they are to secure survival. Notably, in the last 23 Serie A matches involving Cremonese, at least one team failed to score in the first half, suggesting a pattern of low-scoring starts.


Despite these challenges, the visitors can count on the experience of Jamie Vardy, who has scored six goals this season and remains a key figure in their attack. His leadership and finishing ability could prove crucial in such a high-pressure encounter. Should Cremonese lose and Lecce win their respective match, relegation would become mathematically certain, making this fixture a must-win scenario for Giampaolo’s men.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, Udinese have had the upper hand in this matchup, remaining unbeaten in their last four Serie A meetings with Cremonese. The Friulani’s defensive organization and ability to capitalize on home advantage have often made the difference. In contrast, Cremonese’s away form has been their Achilles’ heel, with a tendency to struggle in front of goal when playing outside their own stadium.


From a tactical standpoint, Udinese are expected to maintain a balanced approach, combining solid defensive structure with quick transitions led by their attacking duo. Cremonese, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious strategy, focusing on compactness and counterattacks through their experienced forwards. Given the stakes, the match could be tense and closely contested, with both sides aware that a single mistake could prove decisive.



  • Ranking: Udinese 10th, Cremonese 18th

  • Last head-to-head: 1-1 (October 2025)

  • Udinese season stats: 14W – 8D – 14L (1.3 goals scored, 1.3 conceded)

  • Cremonese season stats: 7W – 10D – 19L (0.8 goals scored, 1.5 conceded)

  • BTTS (Yes): 51%   |   Over 2.5 goals: 51%


Probable Lineups Udinese vs Cremonese


UDINESE: Okoye; Kristensen, Kabasele, Solet; Bertola, Atta, Karlstrom, Piotrowski, Kamara; Davis, Zaniolo.
CREMONESE: Audero; Terracciano, Bianchetti, Luperto, Barbieri; Zerbin, Maleh, Grassi; Vandeputte, Vardy, Bonazzoli.


Udinese vs Cremonese Prediction and Final Analysis


This fixture presents a classic contrast between a mid-table side playing for pride and a relegation-threatened team fighting for survival. Udinese’s recent form and home advantage make them the favorites, but Cremonese’s desperation could inspire a strong performance. The visitors’ defensive fragility and limited scoring record away from home remain major concerns, yet their motivation to stay in Serie A cannot be underestimated.


Given the statistical balance and the psychological factors at play, a tightly contested match is expected. Udinese’s superior quality and consistency suggest they could edge the contest, but Cremonese’s urgency might lead to a draw or a narrow away win if they capitalize on their chances. The encounter could also see limited scoring opportunities, especially in the first half, as both teams prioritize caution over risk.


Udinese vs Cremonese prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a 50% probability.

Udinese vs Cremonese - Predictions

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Udinese vs Cremonese: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Udinese

Cremonese

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Udinese and Cremonese in Serie A

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Udinese vs Cremonese: Frequently asked questions

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When will Udinese vs Cremonese be played?
The Serie A match between Udinese and Cremonese will be played on May 17, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will Udinese vs Cremonese be played?
The match between Udinese and Cremonese will be played at Dacia Arena, Udine - Italy
Who will referee Udinese vs Cremonese?
The referee for the match will be Gianluca Manganiello.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Udinese vs Cremonese in the Serie A?
The odds are: Udinese to win 2.40, draw 3.20, Cremonese to win 3.10.
What are the betting odds for Udinese vs Cremonese for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.72.
Will both Udinese and Cremonese score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Udinese vs Cremonese in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Udinese and Cremonese?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Udinese and Cremonese, Udinese won 2 times, Cremonese won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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