The upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides with contrasting recent form. The match, scheduled for March 2, 2026, at the Bluenergy Stadium, sees the hosts looking to bounce back from a difficult run, while the visitors arrive in Friuli with renewed confidence after a positive month. With both teams separated by just a few points in the standings, this fixture could have significant implications for their respective ambitions in the second half of the season.

Udinese’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Udinese enter this round sitting 12th in Serie A, having collected 32 points so far. Despite a recent dip in form, including a narrow 1-0 defeat to Bologna on February 23, the Friulani remain a solid mid-table side. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Throughout the season, their record stands at nine wins, five draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

At home, Udinese have shown resilience but inconsistency. They have lost three of their last four home meetings against Fiorentina, a statistic that underlines their struggle against this particular opponent. Historically, the Friulani have managed only one win in their last five head-to-head clashes, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. However, their attacking line, led by Zaniolo and Buksa, has the potential to trouble any defense when in rhythm. Zaniolo, in particular, has been a bright spot this season, finding the net five times and showing signs of rediscovering his best form.

Defensively, Udinese have been vulnerable, especially against teams in the lower half of the table. They have conceded 18 goals against such opponents, a figure that ranks among the worst in the league. Still, their ability to respond after setbacks has been notable, and playing in front of their home fans could provide the extra motivation needed to halt their losing streak.

Fiorentina’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Fiorentina arrive in Udine in 17th place with 24 points, but their recent performances suggest a team on the rise. The Viola have won three of their last five matches in all competitions, drawing once and losing only once. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in that period reflects a more balanced and effective approach. Although they suffered a 0-3 defeat to Jagiellonia Białystok on February 26, that setback came after they had already secured qualification in Europe, so it is unlikely to affect morale.

In Serie A, Fiorentina’s season record stands at five wins, nine draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Encouragingly for their supporters, 15 of their 24 points have come in 2026, showing a clear improvement in recent months. Away from home, the Viola have also found some consistency, winning two of their last three league trips. Their attack has been spearheaded by Moise Kean, who has scored in each of his last three Serie A appearances. Kean has a particularly strong record against Udinese, with six goals in eight encounters, including a brace in the reverse fixture that ended 5-1 in December 2025.

Another key figure for Fiorentina is Fagioli, whose late goal in Europe recently secured progression to the knockout stage. The team’s offensive improvement has been complemented by a more disciplined defense, though they still concede regularly. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 21 of Fiorentina’s last 23 matches, highlighting their tendency to grow into games as they progress.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Recent meetings between Udinese and Fiorentina have been high-scoring affairs. The last four encounters have produced an average of 4.5 goals per match, double the average of the previous four. Fiorentina have dominated the fixture in recent years, winning four of the last six meetings, including both clashes in 2025. Udinese’s only victory in that span came at home, but they will need to rediscover that form to challenge a Fiorentina side that appears to have regained confidence.

From a tactical perspective, Udinese will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, aiming to exploit spaces behind Fiorentina’s backline. The visitors, on the other hand, tend to control possession and build patiently through midfield, with creative players like Fagioli and Gudmundsson providing the link to Kean up front. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities, another open and entertaining match could be on the cards.

• Udinese average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match this season.


• Fiorentina have scored in 80% of their last five games.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 18 of Fiorentina’s last 20 Serie A matches.


• The last head-to-head ended 5-1 in favor of Fiorentina.

Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction

Both sides have clear strengths and weaknesses heading into this fixture. Udinese’s home advantage and attacking options could make them dangerous, but Fiorentina’s momentum and superior recent record in this matchup cannot be ignored. The Viola’s ability to find goals in the second half and Kean’s excellent scoring form suggest they may have the edge in a closely contested game.

Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction from BetMines: Fiorentina win (2) with 42% probability. The draw remains possible at 27%, while a home win is estimated at 31%. Given both teams’ attacking trends, the Both Teams To Score – Yes option (53%) also appears attractive for those seeking alternative selections.