Udinese vs Milan Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A

Serie A Round 32 kicks off with Friday night’s fixture between two sides looking to bounce back after a string of disappointing results. At the Bluenergy Stadium, Udinese and Milan face off—currently sitting 11th and 9th in the table respectively, separated by eight points. The home side, after briefly flirting with European qualification hopes, now look set for a mid-table finish, with no major objectives left other than securing a top-half placement. Despite recent underwhelming performances, Runjaic’s side can be fairly satisfied with their season, especially considering they narrowly avoided relegation on the final matchday last year. This clash against Milan is a great chance to give their fans something to cheer about and for some players to attract summer transfer interest. Milan, on the other hand, come into this game seven points behind sixth place, and unless they manage a Coppa Italia miracle, they’re heading for a season without European qualification. With motivation potentially low on both sides, this could open up the game and result in an entertaining, open match.

Udinese's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Udinese lost 1-0 away to Genoa in their last Serie A outing, marking their third consecutive league defeat following losses to Verona and Inter. Over the past four games, they've earned just a single point—a stark contrast to the 13 points they picked up in the four games before that (4 wins and 1 draw).

Runjaic’s side has won 3 of their last 5 home games at Bluenergy Stadium but lost the most recent one 0-1 to Verona. Overall this season, they’ve picked up 23 of their 40 points at home (7 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). In front of their fans, they average 1.26 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

Milan's Recent Form and Key Statistics

The Rossoneri fell 2-1 away to Napoli in Round 31, suffering their ninth league defeat this season. At the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, Conceicao’s men went behind for the fifth time in their last six matches and missed a penalty—their second miss in their last four away games.

Milan are winless in their last three matches (2 defeats, 1 draw), and have only won twice in their last eight away games (against Empoli and Lecce). They've conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last four away matches. Their away record so far is 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game.

Udinese vs Milan Prediction and Tactical Analysis

While Udinese's only remaining goal is a respectable finish in the top half, Milan still need to push hard in this season's final stretch to have a shot at Europe. In terms of motivation, Milan should have the upper hand, but Udinese will be eager to bounce back at home.

In the last five head-to-head matches, Udinese have won 2 and Milan 3—including the 1-0 win earlier this season thanks to a goal from Chukwueze. That match was heavily influenced by a red card to Reijnders after just 29 minutes, with Udinese coming close several times to equalizing.

Interestingly, in 4 of the last 5 meetings played in Udine, both teams have scored at least one goal—just like last season’s 2-3 win for Milan at the Bluenergy Stadium.

Considering past encounters and Milan’s tendency to concede, the Udinese vs Milan prediction by BetMines Algorithm predicts that both teams will score at least one goal. 

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Udinese vs Milan match predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 56%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Udinese vs Milan match predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score at 44%

Udinese vs Milan Predicted Lineups

Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye; Kristensen, Bijol, Solet; Ehizibue, Lovric, Karlstrom, Payero, Kamara; Atta, Lucca. Coach: Runjaic

Milan (3-4-3): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Jimenez, Fofana, Reijnders, Theo Hernandez; Pulisic, Abraham, Leao. Coach: Conceicao