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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:03 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:03 AM
The 33rd round of the 2025/26 Serie A season features an intriguing clash between Udinese and Parma, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026, at 15:00. The match will take place at the Bluenergy Arena, where the home side aims to continue their positive momentum after a convincing away win, while the visitors look to end a worrying winless streak.
Udinese approach this fixture in excellent spirits after a stunning 3-0 victory over AC Milan on April 11, a result that confirmed their strong form in the second half of the season. The team has now gone three consecutive matches without conceding a goal and has lost only once in their last six Serie A outings. Their recent record reads 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Over the course of the season, Udinese have collected 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. This consistency has lifted them to 10th place in the Serie A standings, their best position since the 2012/13 campaign. However, their home performances have been less convincing, with only three wins in their last eleven league games at the Bluenergy Arena. Improving that record will be key if they want to consolidate their top-half position.
In terms of personnel, Udinese will be without Davis, who suffered a muscle injury after returning from suspension. Zanoli is also unavailable, while Zemura remains a doubt. In attack, Gueye could partner Nicolò Zaniolo, who continues to be decisive, having provided an assist in the win over Milan and previously scored in the reverse fixture against Parma.
Parma travel to Udine in search of their first win in six matches. Their last two outings ended in 1-1 draws against Lazio and Napoli, showing resilience but also a recurring inability to hold onto leads. The team’s recent form shows 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Across the season, Parma’s record stands at 8 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. They currently sit 14th in Serie A, maintaining a nine-point cushion above the relegation zone. Their away form has been a bright spot, with five wins and four draws in eleven away matches since late November, a run that has been crucial in their survival battle. However, scoring remains their main issue — only Lecce have found the net fewer times this season.
For this match, Parma welcome back Pellegrino from suspension, who is expected to start alongside Gabriel Strefezza in attack. The latter scored early against Napoli before being substituted due to a minor knock. Ondrejka, Frigan, and Cremaschi are all being monitored for fitness concerns, but the coach is not expected to make major tactical changes.
Historically, Udinese have had the upper hand in this fixture, recording 4 wins, 1 draw, and no defeats in their last five meetings with Parma. The most recent encounter ended 0-2 in favor of Udinese on November 29, 2025. Across those matches, Udinese have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, underlining their dominance in this matchup.
Given the current form of both teams, this contest is likely to be tight and low-scoring. Udinese’s defensive solidity contrasts with Parma’s attacking struggles, suggesting that chances may be limited. The home side’s recent clean sheets and Parma’s tendency to draw make a cautious, tactical battle the most probable scenario. The visitors’ resilience away from home could still make them a tricky opponent, especially if they manage to strike first.
All indicators point toward a balanced but cautious encounter. Udinese’s strong defensive form and Parma’s lack of attacking efficiency suggest that the match could produce few goals. The home side’s momentum and superior head-to-head record make them slight favorites, but Parma’s ability to grind out draws cannot be ignored.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the most likely outcome appears to be a low-scoring match with Udinese avoiding defeat. The combination of Double Chance 1X + Under 3.5 goals aligns well with both teams’ current dynamics and recent results.
Udinese vs Parma prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Parma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
8
2
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2