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Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 4:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 4:01 PM
The 25th round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Udinese and Sassuolo, scheduled for Sunday, February 15, 2026, at 12:30. The match at the Bluenergy Stadium promises to be a balanced contest between two sides separated by just a few points in the standings. Udinese currently sit ninth with 32 points, while Sassuolo follow closely in 11th place with 29. Both teams come into this fixture looking to bounce back after defeats in the previous round, making this encounter crucial for their ambitions in the second half of the season.
After a brief resurgence that saw them claim two consecutive league victories for the first time since September, Udinese suffered a setback last weekend with a 2-1 loss away to Lecce. Despite that defeat, the Friulani remain in the top half of the table, showing signs of improvement under their current management. Their recent form reads two wins, one draw, and two defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Over the course of the season, Udinese have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their home performances have been inconsistent, with only one victory in their last seven home games against teams outside the top seven. However, their attacking duo of Adam Buksa and Jakub Piotrowski has returned to full training, offering a timely boost ahead of this fixture. Nicolò Zaniolo is also pushing for a starting spot after making brief appearances in recent weeks, while Hassane Kamara remains doubtful due to a foot issue, meaning Jordan Zemura is expected to continue on the left flank.
Despite their ups and downs, Udinese have shown resilience and remain a difficult side to beat at home. Their ability to find the net regularly, combined with a solid midfield presence, makes them a threat to any opponent.
Sassuolo arrive in Friuli after a heavy 5-0 home defeat to league leaders Inter, a result that exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. The Neroverdi have struggled for consistency, winning just two of their last five matches while losing three. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game in that period, underlining their current imbalance between attack and defense.
Over the season, Sassuolo’s record stands at 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with only one victory in their last six league trips — a 1-0 win against Pisa, the team with the worst home record in Serie A. The team will also be without Nemanja Matic, who is suspended following his red card against Inter. Long-term absentees Edoardo Pieragnolo and Fali Cande remain sidelined, while Daniel Boloca is doubtful with a knee injury. In attack, Domenico Berardi will support Andrea Pinamonti, who has scored four times against Udinese in the past but hasn’t found the net in Serie A since November.
Despite their recent struggles, Sassuolo remain a dangerous side on their day, capable of exploiting defensive lapses. However, their main focus remains avoiding relegation, and their recent performances have mirrored those of teams fighting for survival.
Historically, encounters between Udinese and Sassuolo have been competitive, with both sides often finding the back of the net. Their last head-to-head ended 3-1 in favor of Udinese on September 28, 2025, and the overall record between them is balanced: one win each and three draws in their last five meetings, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and conceded per team.
Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses in recent weeks, and given their attacking potential, another open contest could be on the cards. Udinese’s home advantage and Sassuolo’s need to respond after a heavy defeat suggest a lively encounter with chances at both ends. The Friulani will look to capitalize on Sassuolo’s defensive frailties, while the visitors will rely on Berardi and Pinamonti to provide a spark in attack.
Considering the statistical balance and recent trends, the most likely scenario points towards both teams scoring. Udinese have scored in each of their last seven matches, while Sassuolo have conceded in five of their last six away games. The probability of both sides finding the net stands at 51%, making it the most probable outcome according to the data.
Udinese vs Sassuolo prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1