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Prediction published on Aug 31, 2026 8:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 31, 2026 8:33 PM
Udinese and Venezia meet in the second round of the Coppa Italia on Wednesday, September 2, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 at the Dacia Arena. The winner will advance to face Atalanta in the round of 16. Udinese enter the fixture after a positive opening period that has included a cup victory over Padova, a draw with Como and a 3-2 win away to Monza. Venezia have experienced a more difficult start in league competition, suffering two defeats without scoring, but their Coppa Italia success offered a welcome source of encouragement. The available statistics point to an intriguing contest: Udinese have produced the stronger recent results, while Venezia have already shown a more open scoring pattern in this competition.
Udinese approach this Coppa Italia match with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five fixtures. Across that sequence, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their most recent result was the 3-2 victory over Monza on August 29, a result that continued their encouraging start to the season.
The home side opened their Coppa Italia campaign by defeating Padova. Their competition record currently stands at one win from one match, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded. That clean sheet provides a solid platform, although the five goals involved in the subsequent match against Monza show that their games are not always controlled in the same way.
Kamara has been one of Udinese's notable performers, scoring twice in three appearances. Those two goals already equal his scoring total from the previous three years with the club. The team coached by Runjaic has also produced good football during its positive opening run. Udinese will be without some players, including Zaniolo, but the available results suggest that they still carry a consistent attacking threat.
Several home trends add further context to the match. Each of Udinese's last 11 home games has finished with under 3.5 total goals, while the first half has contained under 1.5 goals in each of those fixtures. At the same time, Udinese have been ahead at half-time in their last five Coppa Italia home matches and have also won the first half in each of their last three games overall. Those numbers indicate that they have regularly established an early advantage without their home fixtures necessarily becoming extremely high-scoring.
Venezia travel to this cup tie after one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. They scored an average of 1.6 goals per game during that run but conceded 2.4, underlining the open nature of several recent fixtures. Their latest outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against AC Milan on August 28.
The visitors have lost their opening two league matches and have yet to score in that competition. However, their Coppa Italia performance presents a different picture. Venezia have one win from one cup match this season, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. That record shows both the attacking potential and defensive vulnerability they displayed in the previous round.
Despite arriving from Serie B, Venezia are described as having a squad capable of testing Udinese. Their attacking department is considered one of their stronger areas, even though it has not yet converted its opportunities in the league. A cup setting may offer a different context after the pressure and frustration of the opening domestic defeats.
The broader trends support the possibility of another eventful Venezia match. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 fixtures, and at least one second-half goal has been scored in all 11. Only two of Venezia's last ten Coppa Italia games have ended without a goal. Their half-time numbers are mixed: they have led at the interval in eight of their last 12 away matches and 15 of their last 25 overall, but they have been behind at half-time in seven of their previous 11 Coppa Italia fixtures.
The recent numbers create a contrast between Udinese's controlled home profile and Venezia's tendency to be involved in matches containing multiple goals. Udinese's last 11 home games have all stayed below four total goals, yet Venezia's last 11 fixtures have all produced at least two. This leaves room for a competitive match with scoring opportunities without necessarily pointing to an exceptionally large final total.
Udinese appear well placed to threaten after scoring three times against Monza and averaging 1.6 goals across their last five matches. Kamara's early contribution strengthens that attacking case, while the hosts have also developed a notable habit of leading at the interval. Venezia, meanwhile, scored three times in their opening Coppa Italia appearance but conceded twice, so their only cup match this season featured goals at both ends.
The head-to-head record also suggests that neither side should be dismissed. Across the listed meetings from Udinese's perspective, the record is three wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest encounter ended 3-2 on February 1, 2025. Current model figures give Udinese a 30% win probability, compared with 23% for a draw and 47% for Venezia, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the result despite Udinese playing at home.
Rotation is expected, with the original match context indicating that both teams could use several second-choice players. Even so, qualification for a meeting with Atalanta gives the contest clear importance. Udinese's stronger recent sequence must be balanced against Venezia's cup scoring output and their repeated involvement in games with second-half goals. The supplied goal probabilities are also closely matched: both teams to score is rated at 54%, while over 2.5 goals carries the same percentage.
Udinese vs Venezia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
6
4