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Ukraine
6:45 PM
October 5, 2026
Hungary
Prediction published on Oct 4, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Europe - UEFA Nations League | Modified on Oct 4, 2026 2:02 AM
Ukraine host Hungary in Trnava, Slovakia, on 5 October 2026, with the UEFA Nations League Group B2 rivals level on four points after three matches. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time at Štadión Antona Malatinského. Ukraine sit second and Hungary third, and both arrive with identical competition records of one win, one draw and one defeat. Their latest results were very different, however: Ukraine lost 3-0 to Northern Ireland, while Hungary beat Georgia 1-0. With each side having scored only once in this Nations League campaign, their rematch brings recent form and a narrow first meeting into focus.
Ukraine began their Group B2 campaign by beating Hungary 1-0 on 25 September. Danylo Sikan scored the decisive goal, but it remains Ukraine’s only goal in three Nations League fixtures. A 0-0 draw against Georgia followed before Northern Ireland handed them a 3-0 defeat on 2 October. That sequence leaves Ukraine with a win, a draw and a loss, as well as a competition average of 0.3 goals scored per match and 1.0 conceded.
The wider five-match picture is more encouraging than that latest result alone: Ukraine have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Nevertheless, they enter this match without a goal in their last two Nations League outings. Their challenge is to recover from the Northern Ireland defeat while rediscovering the scoring touch that settled the previous meeting with Hungary.
Another statistic adds to the questions around Ukraine’s start: they have been behind at half-time in their last three home matches in the UEFA Nations League. This fixture is being played in Trnava, so those earlier home results do not describe the setting of this match. They do, though, underline the importance of Ukraine avoiding another difficult first half as they seek a second win over Hungary in this campaign.
Hungary have followed the reverse path through their first three Group B2 matches. After losing 1-0 to Ukraine, they drew 0-0 with Northern Ireland and then claimed their first win by beating Georgia 1-0 on 2 October. Like Ukraine, they have a record of one win, one draw and one defeat and have scored just once in the competition. Their defensive figures are tighter, with an average of 0.3 goals conceded per Nations League match.
That victory over Georgia gives Hungary a result to build on after their goalless draw. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. They have also lost only once in their last seven matches, with that defeat coming against Ukraine. Turning the result of their September meeting around would therefore carry particular significance for the visitors.
Hungary’s away record offers further encouragement. They are unbeaten in five away matches, drawing three and winning two. Their Nations League trips have also produced a consistent corners pattern: under 7.5 corners were taken in each of their last six away fixtures in the competition. Separately, two of their last ten Nations League away games finished without a goal from either team. Neither statistic determines how this meeting will unfold, but both provide context for a contest between sides that have so far found goals scarce in Group B2.
The first meeting offers the clearest direct comparison: Ukraine won 1-0, and that remains their only recorded head-to-head result in the supplied summary. Both teams have since played a goalless draw, but they approach this rematch from contrasting latest outings. Ukraine must respond to conceding three against Northern Ireland; Hungary can take confidence from their first competition win and their five-match unbeaten away run.
Scoring form makes this a difficult fixture to judge by recent results alone. Ukraine have not added to Sikan’s goal against Hungary, while the Georgia win supplied Hungary’s first goal of this Nations League campaign. At the same time, their broader five-match records are identical in results, so the difference between them is less clear-cut than the latest scorelines suggest. Ukraine have already shown they can beat these opponents, whereas Hungary arrive with the stronger immediate result and an established run without defeat away from home. Those competing factors make the response to each side’s 2 October match central to this UEFA Nations League preview.
Ukraine vs Hungary prediction from BetMines: Hungary win (2) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ukraine
Hungary
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1